[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":89},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-miguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"84590","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30","Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? is a prediction market in the Elections \u002F Politics category that forecasts whether Cuba’s president will cease holding office at any point between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes if Díaz-Canel resigns, is removed, or otherwise stops serving as president during that window; it also resolves to Yes if an official resignation or removal is announced before the deadline, even if the change takes effect later. Otherwise, the expected outcome is No.\n\nThis event matters because it tracks political stability and leadership succession in Cuba, with broader relevance for geopolitics and regional analysis. Traders are watching government signals and credible reporting to assess the forecast. Current market probability is about 15%, suggesting sentiment leans toward Díaz-Canel remaining in office through the end date, though prediction market odds can change quickly as new information emerges. The resolution source is the government of Cuba, with consensus credible reporting also acceptable.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14],"Cuba","Geopolitics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fmiguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-before-2027-viD_DGeGGtIp.jpg",15,496.177208,11973.087347000002,18020.168,58156.945035,7444.048408100001,true,false,"2025-11-18T21:13:50.396Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-18T16:46:56.291Z","2026-05-30T10:32:18.116Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmiguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"miguel díaz-canel out as president of cuba by june 30?","miguel díaz-canel out as president of cuba by june 30? prediction","miguel díaz-canel out as president of cuba by june 30? odds","miguel díaz-canel out as president of cuba by june 30? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:42:34.983Z","2026-05-30T10:43:23.199Z",0,[41,59,73],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":22},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,46,47,48,49,50,51,52],"Global Elections","Elections","World","World Elections","Colombia Election","Colombia","Main Election",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":63,"probability":67,"createdAt":68,"updatedAt":69,"resolutionDate":70,"description":71,"summary":71,"volume1wk":72,"featured":23},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,46,49,47,64,65,52,66],"Peru","Peru Election","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-05-30T10:40:04.425Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",3592881.1421839977,{"id":74,"title":75,"slug":76,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":77,"probability":83,"createdAt":84,"updatedAt":85,"resolutionDate":86,"description":87,"summary":87,"volume1wk":88,"featured":23},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,78,46,79,80,52,47,81,82],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",74,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.628Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",1004735.6340569996,1780676622795]