[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":83},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-measles-cases-in-us-in-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"91942","measles-cases-in-us-in-2026","Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.cdc.gov\u002Fmeasles\u002Fdata-research\u002Findex.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.\n\nNote: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.","Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? is a prediction market on whether confirmed measles (rubeola) cases in the United States will reach the specified threshold during 2026, based on the CDC Measles (Rubeola) case counter. The market resolves to Yes if the CDC reports at least the target number of human cases between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves to No. This makes the event a live forecast of infectious disease activity, with resolution tied to an official public-health source rather than state-level reports or media estimates. The market is relevant to traders tracking pandemics, science, and climate & science categories, since it reflects broader public health risk and the expected outcome of measles spread in the U.S. As of the latest update, market probability is 18.5%, suggesting traders assign a relatively low chance to the threshold being reached, though that sentiment can change as new case data emerges. The event remains active through the end of 2026, making CDC updates the key driver of odds and market sentiment.","WEATHER","Pandemics",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Science","Measles","Rewards 20, 4.5, 50","Climate & Science","Weather","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002F1200-measles-cases-in-us-before-june-jPVnjl81lNC-.jpg",21,1569.171441,100859.71317,21397.88134,61883.90719199999,35322.0759395,true,false,"2025-12-01T18:01:15.356Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-27T18:00:49.535Z","2026-06-16T10:00:25.443Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmeasles-cases-in-us-in-2026?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"measles cases in u.s. in 2026?","measles cases in u.s. in 2026? prediction","measles cases in u.s. in 2026? odds","measles cases in u.s. in 2026? probability","weather prediction market","weather forecast","weather probability","2026-06-16T10:08:03.977Z","2026-05-30T10:42:56.503Z",0,[44,55,67],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":17,"tags":48,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":28,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":25},"448037","Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026",[17,11,49],"Hantavirus",3.8,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.620Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.521Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a \"pandemic\" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a \"pandemic.\" A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",794518.5709409997,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":49,"tags":59,"probability":61,"createdAt":62,"updatedAt":63,"resolutionDate":64,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":25},"488817","Ebola case in the US by June 30?","ebola-case-in-the-us-by-june-30",[49,17,60],"Ebola",14.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:05.245Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.359Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",31411.141916000015,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":17,"tags":71,"probability":77,"createdAt":78,"updatedAt":79,"resolutionDate":80,"description":81,"summary":81,"volume1wk":82,"featured":26},"593020","Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?","highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-june-16-2026",[17,72,73,74,75,76],"Recurring","Hide From New","Seoul","Daily Temperature","Highest temperature",0.05,"2026-06-16T10:07:58.583Z","2026-06-16T10:02:03.518Z","2026-06-16T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wunderground.com\u002Fhistory\u002Fdaily\u002Fkr\u002Fincheon\u002FRKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.",278629.6857159999,1781606290043]