[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":90},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-may-inflation-us-annual":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"477999","may-inflation-us-annual","May Inflation US - Annual","This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.bls.gov\u002Fbls\u002Fnews-release\u002Fcpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.bls.gov\u002Fschedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","May Inflation US - Annual is a prediction market tracking the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the 12-month period ending in May 2026, based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The forecast asks traders to estimate the official year-over-year inflation figure, measured before seasonal adjustment and resolved to the one-decimal-place value published in the monthly BLS CPI news release. This makes the event a closely watched macro indicators and economy forecast, since CPI remains one of the most important measures of price pressures in the U.S. economy. The market is scheduled to resolve when the BLS releases the May 2026 CPI data on June 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, or later if the report is delayed under the market rules. Current market sentiment points to a low implied probability of 5%, indicating traders are assigning limited odds to the specific outcome currently offered in the market. As an inflation prediction market, this event reflects expectations around U.S. economic conditions, monthly CPI data, and the broader event prediction landscape for macroeconomic releases.","ECONOMY","CPI",[11,13,14,15,16],"Inflation","Economy","Rewards 20, 4.5, 50","Macro Indicators","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fjanuary-inflation-annual-vp5qkgK2R7Et.jpg",0.05,4037.4273000000003,106033.161807,138721.7445,57734.35462499999,61573.0110921,true,false,"2026-05-12T19:50:56.071Z","2026-06-10T08:00:00.000Z","2026-05-12T16:06:24.406Z","2026-05-30T10:32:21.094Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmay-inflation-us-annual?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"may inflation us - annual","may inflation us - annual prediction","may inflation us - annual odds","may inflation us - annual probability","economy prediction market","economic forecast","economic probability","2026-06-05T13:14:25.646Z","2026-05-30T10:42:56.545Z",0,[43,58,77],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":47,"tags":48,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":25},"385557","Largest Company end of May?","largest-company-end-of-may-167","Tech",[47,14,49,50,51],"Finance","Big Tech","Business",99.95,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.200Z","2026-05-30T10:37:43.438Z","2026-05-31T06:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",2345554.2487270003,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":62,"tags":63,"probability":71,"createdAt":72,"updatedAt":73,"resolutionDate":74,"description":75,"summary":75,"volume1wk":76,"featured":25},"524097","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","transit",[62,64,65,14,66,67,68,69,70],"Iran","Oil","Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","ships","Strait of Hormuz","Hormuz",7.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.055Z","2026-05-30T10:31:45.641Z","2026-06-15T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1537804.481213998,{"id":78,"title":79,"slug":80,"category":10,"subcategory":69,"tags":81,"probability":84,"createdAt":85,"updatedAt":86,"resolutionDate":87,"description":88,"summary":88,"volume1wk":89,"featured":25},"455867","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",[69,14,82,83,67,68,64,65,66],"Iran Ceasefire","Politics",56,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.752Z","2026-05-30T10:36:40.524Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1175859.2980450026,1780676620256]