[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":83},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-may-2026-temperature-increase-c":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"424417","may-2026-temperature-increase-c","May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)","This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"May\" in the row \"2026\" (https:\u002F\u002Fdata.giss.nasa.gov\u002Fgistemp\u002Ftabledata_v4\u002FGLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.","May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) is a weather prediction market tied to the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026, with resolution based on the value NASA reports in its global temperature table. Traders are forecasting the expected outcome for the month’s temperature anomaly in Celsius, using the published May 2026 figure as the official reference. The market matters because it tracks how unusually warm the planet was during that period and reflects broader market sentiment around global climate conditions. According to the current probability, the market is pricing in about a 14% chance for the listed outcome bracket, though that probability can change as new information arrives. The event opened on April 27, 2026 and is scheduled to close on June 10, 2026, with resolution expected once NASA releases the relevant data. If the May 2026 figure is not available by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market rules specify that it will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This event combines climate data, science, and prediction market odds in a single forecast of the May 2026 temperature increase.","WEATHER","Weather",[11,13,14],"Global Temp","Science","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ffebruary-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",14,677.739388,47456.804883,25771.31864,44760.779021999995,19730.1748869,true,false,"2026-04-27T20:40:21.060Z","2026-06-10T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-27T15:43:56.304Z","2026-05-30T10:37:05.594Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmay-2026-temperature-increase-c?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"may 2026 temperature increase (ºc)","may 2026 temperature increase (ºc) prediction","may 2026 temperature increase (ºc) odds","may 2026 temperature increase (ºc) probability","weather prediction market","weather forecast","weather probability","2026-06-05T13:22:09.293Z","2026-05-30T10:43:03.769Z",0,[41,54,71],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":48,"createdAt":49,"updatedAt":50,"resolutionDate":51,"description":52,"summary":52,"volume1wk":53,"featured":22},"448037","Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026",[11,46,47],"Pandemics","Hantavirus",6.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.620Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.386Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a \"pandemic\" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a \"pandemic.\" A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",1207277.849095,{"id":55,"title":56,"slug":57,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":58,"probability":65,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":23},"533144","Highest temperature in Seoul on May 30?","highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-may-30-2026",[11,59,60,61,62,63,64],"Recurring","Hide From New","Seoul","Daily Temperature","Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (2)","Highest temperature",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:51.351Z","2026-05-30T10:40:19.034Z","2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wunderground.com\u002Fhistory\u002Fdaily\u002Fkr\u002Fincheon\u002FRKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.",243323.698127,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":65,"createdAt":78,"updatedAt":79,"resolutionDate":80,"description":81,"summary":81,"volume1wk":82,"featured":23},"529446","Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 29?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-29-2026",[11,59,60,62,76,77,64],"Hong Kong","Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (2)","2026-05-30T10:42:51.488Z","2026-05-30T10:32:20.566Z","2026-05-29T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.weather.gov.hk\u002Fen\u002Fcis\u002Fclimat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",239221.67191499998,1780676664359]