[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":90},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-makerfield-by-election-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":46},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":21,"probability":22,"volume24hr":23,"volume1wk":24,"liquidity":25,"openInterest":26,"trendScore":27,"active":28,"closed":29,"featured":29,"startDate":30,"endDate":31,"createdAtRemote":32,"updatedAtRemote":33,"affiliateUrl":34,"polymarketUrl":34,"searchKeywords":35,"syncedAt":43,"createdAt":44,"marketCount":45},"485538","makerfield-by-election-winner","Makerfield by-election Winner","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).","Makerfield by-election Winner is a prediction market on who will win the United Kingdom parliamentary by-election in Makerfield, expected in 2026 after the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. The event matters because it tracks the outcome of a UK Elections contest that could reflect local political sentiment and broader views on the governing parties. Traders are forecasting the candidate who will secure the Makerfield parliamentary seat, with the market resolving to \"Other\" if official results are not confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Based on current market probability, the leading outcome is priced at about 74%, though that remains subject to change as campaign coverage, candidate selection, and reporting develop. The market will resolve using credible reporting, with official election results from Wigan Council serving as the final source in case of ambiguity. For those following election prediction market odds, this listing offers a focused event prediction on a single seat in UK politics, with timing centered on the 2026 by-election window and final resolution by year-end if needed.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20],"Main Elections","Global Elections","UK Elections","UK","Main Election","Elections","Starmer","Makerfield","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fmakerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg",74,70472.460315,1004735.6340569996,456334.3369,1169104.4083439999,427923.7877545999,true,false,"2026-05-14T23:54:58.372Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-14T18:33:01.576Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.628Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmakerfield-by-election-winner?r=predstack",[36,37,38,39,40,41,42],"makerfield by-election winner","makerfield by-election winner prediction","makerfield by-election winner odds","makerfield by-election winner probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T10:35:58.201Z","2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z",0,[47,62,76],{"id":48,"title":49,"slug":50,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":51,"probability":56,"createdAt":57,"updatedAt":58,"resolutionDate":59,"description":60,"summary":60,"volume1wk":61,"featured":28},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,14,18,52,53,54,55,17],"World","World Elections","Colombia Election","Colombia",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,{"id":63,"title":64,"slug":65,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":66,"probability":70,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":73,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":29},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,14,53,18,67,68,17,69],"Peru","Peru Election","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-05-30T10:40:04.425Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",3592881.1421839977,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":80,"probability":84,"createdAt":85,"updatedAt":86,"resolutionDate":87,"description":88,"summary":88,"volume1wk":89,"featured":29},"79973","2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner","2026-seoul-mayoral-election-winner",[11,52,18,81,14,53,82,83],"South Korea","rewards 100, 4.5, 100","South Korea Elections",25.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.527Z","2026-05-30T10:40:08.541Z","2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z","The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.",864411.1100699998,1780676572473]