[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-makerfield-by-election-restore-britain-receives-10-20260609002937160":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"574439","makerfield-by-election-restore-britain-receives-10-20260609002937160","Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).","Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? is a UK election prediction market focused on whether Rebecca Shepherd, the Restore Britain candidate, will win at least 10% of the valid vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. The vote is scheduled for June 18, 2026, after the resignation of incumbent Josh Simons, making this a closely watched contest in the United Kingdom politics and elections category. The market resolves Yes if Shepherd’s share of the popular vote meets or exceeds the listed threshold, based on valid votes counted in the by-election; otherwise it resolves No. If the result is not definitively known by December 31, 2026, the market will also resolve No.\n\nCurrent market probability is about 42.5%, indicating traders see a meaningful but uncertain chance that Restore Britain clears the 10% mark. As an election forecast, the event reflects market sentiment around the party’s expected outcome in Makerfield and how support may translate into vote share. Official results from Wigan Council are the primary resolution source.","ELECTIONS","Makerfield",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"UK","by election","Global Elections","Elections","United Kingdom","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fmakerfield-by-election-restore-britain-receives-at-least-__-20260607210837266-gQQAgDvXzbzy.png",42.5,19199.947947,42125.63859399999,22995.8477,28315.355308,26836.835091699995,true,false,"2026-06-09T00:49:46.484Z","2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z","2026-06-09T00:32:20.849Z","2026-06-16T10:02:45.198Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmakerfield-by-election-restore-britain-receives-10-20260609002937160?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"makerfield by-election: restore britain receives 10%+?","makerfield by-election: restore britain receives 10%+? prediction","makerfield by-election: restore britain receives 10%+? odds","makerfield by-election: restore britain receives 10%+? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:18:45.241Z","2026-06-16T10:08:11.910Z",0,[45,60,75],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":18,"tags":49,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":26},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[18,15,50,16,51,52,53],"World Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":64,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":26},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[50,15,16,18,65,66,67,68],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.972Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9084772.468148999,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":79,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":72,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":26},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[50,15,65,16,18,66,80,68,53],"President",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-06-16T10:05:49.318Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",6422552.3238429995,1781606268253]