[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":87},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-makerfield-by-election-2nd-place":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"508139","makerfield-by-election-2nd-place","Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).","Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place is a UK election prediction market focused on which candidate will finish with the second-highest number of valid votes in the parliamentary by-election for the Makerfield constituency. The election is expected to take place on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons, and the market will resolve based on the official or credibly reported vote totals, with Wigan Council results serving as the final reference if needed. If the result is not definitively known by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to \"Other.\" \n\nThis event is useful for traders tracking UK Elections, because it isolates the contest for second place rather than the winner, making it a more specific forecast of local political dynamics. Current market probability is around 22%, suggesting traders see a relatively low chance for the leading candidate in this particular outcome, though that probability may change as campaign coverage and election results approach. As with any prediction market, odds and market sentiment can shift quickly based on candidate performance, reporting, and turnout expectations.","ELECTIONS","UK",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Global Elections","Politics","Elections","Starmer","UK Elections","Makerfield","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fmakerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg",22,4017.43505,10958.903428,69188.37958,7829.986431,19134.0644694,true,false,"2026-05-21T17:55:26.961Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-21T02:20:14.015Z","2026-05-30T10:35:43.593Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmakerfield-by-election-2nd-place?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"makerfield by-election: 2nd place","makerfield by-election: 2nd place prediction","makerfield by-election: 2nd place odds","makerfield by-election: 2nd place probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:44:34.605Z","2026-05-30T10:43:25.145Z",0,[45,61,73],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":49,"tags":50,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":58,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":26},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","World Elections",[49,13,15,14,51,52,53,54],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.146Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",14863770.623744,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":49,"tags":65,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":58,"description":71,"summary":71,"volume1wk":72,"featured":26},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[49,13,51,15,14,52,66,54,67],"President","Main Election",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-05-30T10:38:06.128Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",12762950.039931998,{"id":74,"title":75,"slug":76,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":77,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":84,"description":85,"summary":85,"volume1wk":86,"featured":26},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[14,13,15,78,49,79,80,67],"World","Colombia Election","Colombia",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,1780676588158]