[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-maine-senate-election-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":25,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"57650","maine-senate-election-winner","Maine Senate Election Winner","This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.","Maine Senate Election Winner is an election prediction market focused on the outcome of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. Traders are forecasting which candidate will be declared the winner, with the market resolving to the candidate called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC once all three sources agree; if they do not, official certification will determine the result. The forecast reflects a classic U.S. election event in the Elections category, with relevance for Senate midterms, Maine politics, and broader market sentiment around the state’s general election. Current market probability places the leading outcome at about 69%, indicating traders see that result as favored but not assured. The event is active now and runs through the election period, with a scheduled end date of November 3, 2026. As with any election odds market, the expected outcome may change as campaigns develop, polling shifts, and new information affects trader expectations. This listing is useful for tracking the election forecast, probability, and live market sentiment around the Maine Senate race.","ELECTIONS","US Election",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Politics","Midterms","Elections","Senate midterms","Maine Midterm","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fmaine-31b36d7c50.png",69,2655.715097,42700.06554700003,52156.5558,143648.930075,24569.18837260001,true,false,"2025-10-13T22:32:54.644Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","2025-10-10T18:59:16.093Z","2026-05-30T10:35:12.352Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmaine-senate-election-winner?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"maine senate election winner","maine senate election winner prediction","maine senate election winner odds","maine senate election winner probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:23:14.979Z","2026-05-30T10:43:04.717Z",0,[44,60,76],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":28,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":25},"32225","Which party will win the House in 2026?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026",[11,13,14,49,15,50,51,52,53,54],"World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Parent For Derivative","United States","Main Election",null,"2026-05-30T10:42:50.365Z","2026-05-30T10:38:10.388Z","This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nHouse control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and\u002For state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.",311040.33982799994,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":64,"probability":70,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":73,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":26},"482873","LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?","la-mayoral-election-first-round-winner",[11,13,65,15,66,67,68,69],"LA","Mayoral Elections","Los Angeles Mayoral Election","Los Angeles","LA Mayor",71.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:52.437Z","2026-05-30T10:38:55.487Z","2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z","The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.",187475.93971099996,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":80,"probability":83,"createdAt":84,"updatedAt":85,"resolutionDate":28,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":26},"32224","Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026",[11,13,14,49,50,15,51,52,81,53,82,54],"Senate","Congress",46.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:58.420Z","2026-05-30T10:37:47.976Z","This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and\u002For state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.",78859.27768599999,1780676623202]