[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-lee-jae-myung-out-as-president-of-south-korea-in-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":39},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":14,"probability":15,"volume24hr":16,"volume1wk":17,"liquidity":18,"openInterest":19,"trendScore":20,"active":21,"closed":22,"featured":22,"startDate":23,"endDate":24,"createdAtRemote":25,"updatedAtRemote":26,"affiliateUrl":27,"polymarketUrl":27,"searchKeywords":28,"syncedAt":36,"createdAt":37,"marketCount":38},"414520","lee-jae-myung-out-as-president-of-south-korea-in-2026","Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? is a prediction market focused on whether the South Korean president will cease to hold office at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026. The event covers resignation, removal, detention, or any other outcome that would prevent Lee Jae-myung from continuing as president, with official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea serving as the primary resolution source. Credible reporting may also be used if needed. This political forecast matters because changes in South Korea’s presidency can affect domestic governance, party control, and broader regional expectations. The market opened on April 24, 2026, and runs through the end of the year, giving traders a clear timeframe for updating their probability assessments as new developments emerge. Current market probability is about 11.55%, suggesting traders assign a relatively low but non-trivial chance of an out-of-office outcome. As a prediction market event in the Politics and Elections category, it reflects market sentiment on the expected outcome rather than a certainty, making it a useful election forecast and odds signal for anyone tracking South Korea politics.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13],"South Korea","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Flee-jae-myung-out-as-president-of-south-korea-in-2026-Pva9K-QJuyDX.jpg",11.55,21418.570498999998,60417.024909000014,70838.56047,69655.236667,43002.10481620001,true,false,"2026-04-24T22:16:02.274Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-24T21:43:00.509Z","2026-06-16T10:01:54.886Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Flee-jae-myung-out-as-president-of-south-korea-in-2026?r=predstack",[29,30,31,32,33,34,35],"lee jae-myung out as president of south korea in 2026?","lee jae-myung out as president of south korea in 2026? prediction","lee jae-myung out as president of south korea in 2026? odds","lee jae-myung out as president of south korea in 2026? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:15:40.946Z","2026-06-16T10:08:07.518Z",0,[40,57,72],{"id":41,"title":42,"slug":43,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":44,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":21},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,45,46,47,48,49,50],"Global Elections","World Elections","Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":61,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":21},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,45,47,62,46,63,64,50,65],"World","Colombia Election","Colombia","Macro Election 1",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-06-16T10:05:17.604Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",1044563.6338270012,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":82,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":22},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,77,45,78,79,50,47,80,81],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",77.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-06-16T10:06:49.555Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",3351349.079954987,1781606253186]