[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-lebanon-parliamentary-election-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"147848","lebanon-parliamentary-election-winner","Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner","Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament..\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.","Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner is a prediction market on which political party will win the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. Parliamentary elections in Lebanon are expected in May 2026, and the market is scheduled to resolve by February 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET if the result is not definitively known sooner. The forecast is straightforward: traders are assessing the expected outcome of the election based on the party that secures the most seats, with official results from the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities used if needed. If a tied seat count occurs, the market uses valid votes and then alphabetical order as final tiebreakers. Current market probability is about 1.7%, reflecting the market sentiment and odds at the time of tracking. This event sits in the Elections category for the Middle East and is relevant for monitoring Lebanon, regional politics, and broader world election forecasts.","ELECTIONS","Middle East",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Lebanon","Global Elections","World Elections","Elections","Politics","Main Election","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Flebanon-parliamentary-election-winner-AF5OglvfrqjC.png",1.7,2061.405891,10429.4459,165449.55768,12897.226196000001,37249.4482515,true,false,"2026-01-06T22:02:28.810Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-01-06T20:31:22.732Z","2026-05-30T10:36:05.898Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Flebanon-parliamentary-election-winner?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"lebanon parliamentary election winner","lebanon parliamentary election winner prediction","lebanon parliamentary election winner odds","lebanon parliamentary election winner probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:45:20.836Z","2026-05-30T10:43:25.903Z",0,[45,60,71],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":15,"tags":49,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":26},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[15,14,16,17,50,51,52,53],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.146Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",14863770.623744,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":15,"tags":64,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":57,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":26},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[15,14,50,16,17,51,65,53,18],"President",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-05-30T10:38:06.128Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",12762950.039931998,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":17,"tags":75,"probability":79,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":26},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[17,14,16,76,15,77,78,18],"World","Colombia Election","Colombia",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,1780676588132]