[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-la-mayoral-election-first-round-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"482873","la-mayoral-election-first-round-winner","LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?","The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.","LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner? is a prediction market on which candidate will finish first in the initial round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The forecast focuses on the candidate who receives the most valid votes on June 2, 2026, with the market resolving to the highest-ranked finisher under the stated rules if vote totals are tied. If no candidate wins a majority, the election would move to a runoff on November 3, 2026, but this market is specifically about the first-round result. The event is relevant to US Election and Los Angeles politics because it offers a real-time view of market sentiment around the LA mayoral race. As of the latest data, traders are pricing the listed outcome at about 71.5% probability, suggesting it is the current expected outcome but not a certainty. The market will settle using credible reporting and official results from the city and county of Los Angeles, with a fallback to \"Other\" if the result is not definitively known by December 31, 2026. This makes it a focused event prediction for election watchers tracking odds, probabilities, and vote-count outcomes.","ELECTIONS","US Election",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Politics","LA","Elections","Mayoral Elections","Los Angeles Mayoral Election","Los Angeles","LA Mayor","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Flos-angeles-mayoral-election-117-lQx0FWLF3whu.jpg",71.5,35667.70578099999,187475.93971099996,285994.17398,125587.71554499997,131275.4695998,true,false,"2026-05-14T17:45:15.764Z","2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-13T23:55:00.540Z","2026-05-30T10:38:55.487Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fla-mayoral-election-first-round-winner?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"la mayoral election: first round winner?","la mayoral election: first round winner? prediction","la mayoral election: first round winner? odds","la mayoral election: first round winner? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:09:58.845Z","2026-05-30T10:42:52.437Z",0,[46,64,76],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":50,"probability":58,"createdAt":59,"updatedAt":60,"resolutionDate":61,"description":62,"summary":62,"volume1wk":63,"featured":27},"32225","Which party will win the House in 2026?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026",[11,13,51,52,15,53,54,55,56,57],"Midterms","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Parent For Derivative","United States","Main Election",null,"2026-05-30T10:42:50.365Z","2026-05-30T10:38:10.388Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nHouse control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and\u002For state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.",311040.33982799994,{"id":65,"title":66,"slug":67,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":68,"probability":71,"createdAt":72,"updatedAt":73,"resolutionDate":61,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":27},"57650","Maine Senate Election Winner","maine-senate-election-winner",[11,13,51,15,69,70],"Senate midterms","Maine Midterm",69,"2026-05-30T10:43:04.717Z","2026-05-30T10:35:12.352Z","This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",42700.06554700003,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":80,"probability":83,"createdAt":84,"updatedAt":85,"resolutionDate":61,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":28},"32224","Which party will win the Senate in 2026?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026",[11,13,51,52,53,15,54,55,81,56,82,57],"Senate","Congress",46.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:58.420Z","2026-05-30T10:37:47.976Z","This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nSenate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and\u002For state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.",78859.27768599999,1780676623246]