[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-la-mayoral-election-first-round-second-place":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"482896","la-mayoral-election-first-round-second-place","LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?","The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.","LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place? is a prediction market on which candidate will finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The election is scheduled for June 2, 2026, in Los Angeles, California, and the market resolves to the named candidate who receives the second-most valid votes, using the stated ranking rules and alphabetical tiebreak if needed. If no definitive result is available by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to Other. This event matters because the first-round ordering can shape market sentiment around the mayoral race and the possibility of a runoff on November 3, 2026. Traders are forecasting the likely runner-up based on election odds, campaign dynamics, and available reporting, with current market probability around 23.5% for the listed outcome. As an election forecast and event prediction, it focuses on official results from the city and county of Los Angeles if there is any ambiguity.","ELECTIONS","Rewards 20, 4.5, 50",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Politics","Los Angeles","Los Angeles Mayoral Election","Elections","US Election","LA","LA Mayor","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Flos-angeles-mayoral-election-117-lQx0FWLF3whu.jpg",23.5,3873.576808,11197.236686,116110.52623,6682.815553,28518.0646558,true,false,"2026-05-14T17:49:05.102Z","2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-14T00:05:00.314Z","2026-05-30T10:31:31.339Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fla-mayoral-election-first-round-second-place?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"la mayoral election: first round second place?","la mayoral election: first round second place? prediction","la mayoral election: first round second place? odds","la mayoral election: first round second place? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:43:56.622Z","2026-05-30T10:43:24.510Z",0,[46,59,74],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":50,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":28},"481843","Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?","colombia-election-who-will-advance-to-2nd-round",[11,13,51,52,16],"Colombia Election","Global Elections",0.1,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.773Z","2026-05-30T10:33:35.087Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.\n\nIf any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.\n\nIf any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",116527.85259000001,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":63,"tags":64,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":27},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","World Elections",[63,52,16,13,17,65,66,67],"Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.146Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",14863770.623744,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":63,"tags":78,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":71,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":27},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[63,52,17,16,13,65,79,67,80],"President","Main Election",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-05-30T10:38:06.128Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",12762950.039931998,1780676588941]