[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-la-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"485542","la-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory","LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?","The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory? is a prediction market focused on the June 2, 2026 first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election. The market asks traders to forecast the absolute margin between the first-place and second-place candidates, based on each candidate’s share of valid votes in the official count. In practical terms, it measures how close or decisive the top of the field is in this citywide election. The outcome matters because the first round will determine whether a candidate wins outright or whether the race advances to a runoff on November 3, 2026. The market opened ahead of the election and is set to resolve once the vote count is official, with a December 31, 2026 deadline if results remain unsettled. Current market probability stands at 2.3%, suggesting very low odds assigned to the specific bracket being discussed and reflecting market sentiment around the expected outcome. As an election forecast for Los Angeles, this event is closely tied to official reporting from the City and County of Los Angeles and may remain open during any recount before certification.","ELECTIONS","Los Angeles",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Politics","Los Angeles Mayoral Election","Elections","US Election","LA Mayor","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Flos-angeles-mayoral-election-117-lQx0FWLF3whu.jpg",2.3,125.66,51322.712662,168195.74397,32303.115743,49098.7925926,true,false,"2026-05-15T20:24:19.904Z","2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-14T18:33:32.759Z","2026-06-16T10:01:55.946Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fla-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"la mayoral election: 1st round margin of victory?","la mayoral election: 1st round margin of victory? prediction","la mayoral election: 1st round margin of victory? odds","la mayoral election: 1st round margin of victory? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:17:20.355Z","2026-06-16T10:08:09.545Z",0,[44,60,74],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":48,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":25},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[13,49,50,15,51,52,53],"Global Elections","World Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":64,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":25},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[50,49,15,13,16,65,66,67],"Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.972Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9084772.468148999,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":78,"probability":80,"createdAt":81,"updatedAt":82,"resolutionDate":71,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":25},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[50,49,16,15,13,65,79,67,53],"President",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-06-16T10:05:49.318Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",6422552.3238429995,1781606270331]