[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":94},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-kevin-warsh-cuts-rates-at-first-fed-meeting":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"389834","kevin-warsh-cuts-rates-at-first-fed-meeting","Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?","The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nIf Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET),  this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to \"No\".","Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? is a finance prediction market on whether the Federal Reserve will lower the upper bound of the federal funds target range at the first FOMC meeting after Kevin Warsh becomes Chair of the Federal Reserve. The forecast focuses on the FOMC statement and the official Fed rate decision, making the event dependent on both Warsh’s confirmation and the timing of the first qualifying meeting. If no such meeting occurs by December 31, 2026, or if his nomination is withdrawn or rejected, the market resolves to No. Current market probability is about 1.6%, indicating traders see a very low chance of an immediate rate cut. In prediction market terms, sentiment is strongly leaning toward no change at Warsh’s first meeting, with limited odds priced in for an early easing move. The event sits at the intersection of Trump-era political appointments, Fed Chair succession, and U.S. monetary policy, so it is closely watched by traders tracking event prediction and interest-rate expectations.","FINANCE","Trump",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Warsh","Fed Chair","Politics","Fed","Fed Rates","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fkevin-warsh-cuts-rates-at-first-fed-meeting-J_50N4XS1K5T.jpg",1.6,14923.86694,115415.733382,47455.14118,147793.423949,51577.6817206,true,false,"2026-04-17T22:47:08.213Z",null,"2026-04-17T21:04:54.799Z","2026-05-30T10:31:53.593Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fkevin-warsh-cuts-rates-at-first-fed-meeting?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"kevin warsh cuts rates at first fed meeting?","kevin warsh cuts rates at first fed meeting? prediction","kevin warsh cuts rates at first fed meeting? odds","kevin warsh cuts rates at first fed meeting? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-05T13:13:46.254Z","2026-05-30T10:42:55.861Z",0,[44,61,76],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":49,"probability":42,"createdAt":57,"updatedAt":58,"resolutionDate":59,"description":46,"summary":46,"volume1wk":60,"featured":25},"415443","What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026","Finance",[48,50,51,52,53,54,55,56],"Monthly","Hit Price","Hide From New","Finance Updown","Pyth Finance","Commodities","Oil","2026-05-30T10:42:43.693Z","2026-05-30T10:38:59.671Z","2026-05-31T17:00:00.000Z",12887084.736748997,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":65,"tags":66,"probability":70,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":73,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":25},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825","Economic Policy",[65,67,17,16,15,68,69],"Jerome Powell","Economy","fomc",0.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-05-30T10:39:31.611Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",11018139.856811013,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":10,"subcategory":80,"tags":81,"probability":88,"createdAt":89,"updatedAt":90,"resolutionDate":91,"description":92,"summary":92,"volume1wk":93,"featured":25},"102007","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","Tech",[80,82,83,84,85,86,87],"Big Tech","Elon Musk","IPO","SpaceX","IPOs","Climate & Science",98.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.312Z","2026-05-30T10:34:08.685Z","2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",1314816.7019979998,1780676611243]