[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":76},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-june-2026-temperature-increase-c":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"528002","june-2026-temperature-increase-c","June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)","This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Jun\" in the row \"2026\" (https:\u002F\u002Fdata.giss.nasa.gov\u002Fgistemp\u002Ftabledata_v4\u002FGLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.","June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) is a weather prediction market focused on the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026. Traders are forecasting the June anomaly reported by NASA’s Global Temperature Index, with the market resolving to the corresponding range bracket once the official data is published. The primary resolution source is NASA’s table \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius,\" specifically the June 2026 value in the 2026 row. If NASA’s temperature index is unavailable permanently, alternative NASA information may be used, and if no June 2026 figure is released by August 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis event matters because global temperature data is a widely watched climate indicator and a key signal in the broader weather and science category. Current market probability is about 2.2%, suggesting traders see a low likelihood for the higher-temperature outcome implied by the listed contract. As a result, market sentiment currently reflects relatively modest expected odds for this event prediction.","WEATHER","Global Temp",[11,13,14],"Weather","Science","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ffebruary-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",2.2,1693.887552,10754.108060000002,20943.19516,9590.576475,8261.815226,true,false,"2026-05-26T23:51:42.342Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-26T18:51:29.225Z","2026-06-16T10:01:52.299Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fjune-2026-temperature-increase-c?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"june 2026 temperature increase (ºc)","june 2026 temperature increase (ºc) prediction","june 2026 temperature increase (ºc) odds","june 2026 temperature increase (ºc) probability","weather prediction market","weather forecast","weather probability","2026-06-16T10:33:29.657Z","2026-06-16T10:08:32.258Z",0,[41,52,65],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":46,"createdAt":47,"updatedAt":48,"resolutionDate":49,"description":50,"summary":50,"volume1wk":51,"featured":23},"424360","2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?","2026-may-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record",[11,13,14],1.25,"2026-05-30T10:43:07.899Z","2026-05-30T10:32:42.858Z","2026-06-10T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record. \n\nNote: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"May\" (https:\u002F\u002Fdata.giss.nasa.gov\u002Fgistemp\u002Ftabledata_v4\u002FGLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.",32871.817272,{"id":53,"title":54,"slug":55,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":56,"probability":59,"createdAt":60,"updatedAt":61,"resolutionDate":62,"description":63,"summary":63,"volume1wk":64,"featured":22},"448037","Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026",[13,57,58],"Pandemics","Hantavirus",3.8,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.620Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.521Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a \"pandemic\" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a \"pandemic.\" A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",794518.5709409997,{"id":66,"title":67,"slug":68,"category":10,"subcategory":58,"tags":69,"probability":71,"createdAt":72,"updatedAt":73,"resolutionDate":25,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":22},"488817","Ebola case in the US by June 30?","ebola-case-in-the-us-by-june-30",[58,13,70],"Ebola",14.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:05.245Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.359Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",31411.141916000015,1781606248112]