[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-jimmy-kimmel-firedresigns-by-may-31":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":24,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"424807","jimmy-kimmel-firedresigns-by-may-31","Jimmy Kimmel fired\u002Fresigns by May 31?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jimmy Kimmel ceases to be the host of Jimmy Kimmel Live! for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement of Kimmel's resignation\u002Ffiring before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Ffiring goes into effect.\n\nSuspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ABC or Disney, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Jimmy Kimmel fired\u002Fresigns by May 31? is a political prediction market asking whether Jimmy Kimmel will cease hosting Jimmy Kimmel Live! for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026. The event focuses on a clear forecasted outcome: a “Yes” resolution if ABC’s Jimmy Kimmel Live! host resigns, is fired, or otherwise stops hosting before the deadline; temporary suspensions or administrative leave do not count. If an official resignation or firing is announced before the end date, the market resolves to Yes immediately, even if the change takes effect later.\n\nThe market is relevant to politics, culture, celebrities, and TV because it tracks both entertainment news and potential media fallout involving ABC and Disney. As of the latest pricing, traders assign about a 25% probability to a Yes outcome, indicating the current market sentiment leans toward Kimmel remaining in place through the deadline, though the odds can move with new reporting. This event prediction is time-sensitive, with the forecast window ending at 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16],"Trump","Celebrities","Culture","TV","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fjimmy-kimmel-firedresigns-by-may-31-cPNJb8_-X4ck.jpg",0.25,5034.416,33375.912205,44024.06509,97188.952495,21334.7946795,true,false,"2026-04-27T18:22:22.912Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-27T18:08:13.660Z","2026-05-30T10:34:00.481Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fjimmy-kimmel-firedresigns-by-may-31?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"jimmy kimmel fired\u002Fresigns by may 31?","jimmy kimmel fired\u002Fresigns by may 31? prediction","jimmy kimmel fired\u002Fresigns by may 31? odds","jimmy kimmel fired\u002Fresigns by may 31? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:26:30.077Z","2026-05-30T10:43:07.723Z",0,[43,61,73],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":58,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":24},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,48,49,50,51,52,53,54],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":65,"probability":41,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":27,"description":71,"summary":71,"volume1wk":72,"featured":24},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,66,67,68],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":74,"title":75,"slug":76,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":77,"probability":41,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":24},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,78,68,79,13,67,66],"Iran Ceasefire","Vance","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-05-30T10:39:46.810Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",2654417.6848280015,1780676603199]