[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":81},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-jerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"145648","jerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by","Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? is a finance prediction market asking whether Jerome Powell will cease to hold any position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before the market’s deadline on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The forecast is specific: it resolves to “Yes” only if Powell leaves the Board at any point during the event window. If he remains a Board member, even if he stops serving as Chair of the Federal Reserve, the market resolves to “No.”\n\nThis event matters because Powell’s status is closely tied to U.S. economic policy, Fed rates, and broader market expectations around monetary leadership. Current market probability is around 35%, suggesting traders see a meaningful but not dominant chance of the expected outcome. As with other prediction market events, sentiment may shift with government announcements, credible reporting, or changes in the political environment involving the Fed and figures such as Trump. The resolution will rely on U.S. government information, with credible consensus reporting also accepted.","FINANCE","Fed",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Trump","Jerome Powell","Economic Policy","Fed Rates","Politics","Fed Chair","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fjerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by-Z9UI_OPBL8el.jpg",0.35,1190.98,16177.546316,19257.34457,68078.297017,9300.2228088,true,false,"2026-01-05T21:13:34.920Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-01-05T19:06:56.625Z","2026-05-30T10:33:09.516Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fjerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"jerome powell out of fed board by…?","jerome powell out of fed board by…? prediction","jerome powell out of fed board by…? odds","jerome powell out of fed board by…? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-05T13:38:09.926Z","2026-05-30T10:43:18.951Z",0,[45,58,69],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":27},"106884","Fed rate cut by...?","fed-rate-cut-by-629",[11,14,50,15,16,51],"Economy","Finance",1.6,"2026-05-30T10:42:50.812Z","2026-05-30T10:38:03.467Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",275213.65961999993,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":43,"createdAt":65,"updatedAt":66,"resolutionDate":55,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":27},"192082","Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)","fed-decisions-mar-jun",[11,63,50,16,15,14,64],"Parlays","fomc","2026-05-30T10:42:53.969Z","2026-05-30T10:38:42.953Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm",149936.96671800004,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":73,"probability":75,"createdAt":76,"updatedAt":77,"resolutionDate":78,"description":79,"summary":79,"volume1wk":80,"featured":27},"101936","Fed rate hike in 2026?","fed-rate-hike-in-2026",[11,15,14,50,16,74],"Macro Single",31.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:57.847Z","2026-05-30T10:31:39.320Z","2026-12-09T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",87431.91223,1780676593174]