[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-jd-vance-out-as-vp-by":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"531004","jd-vance-out-as-vp-by","JD Vance out as VP by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vance's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","JD Vance out as VP by...? is a political prediction market asking whether JD Vance will cease to serve as Vice-President of the United States at any point before the market’s end date. The event is framed around official action, resignation, removal, detention, or any other circumstance that permanently or temporarily prevents him from fulfilling the vice-presidential role. If an announcement of resignation or removal is made before the deadline, the market can resolve to “Yes” even if the change takes effect later. The forecast runs from its start date on May 27, 2026, through December 31, 2026, ET, making the timing of any political developments especially important. This market sits within the Politics category and the Trump Cabinet subcategory, with traders watching for shifts in market sentiment tied to the Trump administration and vice-presidential succession risk. Current market probability is about 1.25%, suggesting the expected outcome is strongly leaning toward “No,” though prediction market odds can change quickly as new information emerges. The resolution source is official U.S. government information and JD Vance statements, with credible reporting also allowed if needed.","POLITICS","Trump Cabinet",[11,13,14],"Politics","Trump","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fjd-vance-out-as-vp-by-S05G1JuU3-jn.jpg",1.25,6173.059029,79658.83255000002,240968.29968,41210.456064,75177.83921550002,true,false,"2026-05-27T15:22:23.326Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-27T15:02:12.984Z","2026-05-30T10:33:33.505Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fjd-vance-out-as-vp-by?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"jd vance out as vp by...?","jd vance out as vp by...? prediction","jd vance out as vp by...? odds","jd vance out as vp by...? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:16:26.066Z","2026-05-30T10:42:58.378Z",0,[41,57,75],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":23},"336745","Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?","who-will-trump-announce-as-next-ag",[11,14,46,47,13,48,49,50],"pam bondi","bondi","attorney general","Zeldin","AG",14.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:07.445Z","2026-05-30T10:31:55.610Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Attorney General. \n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No announcement by June 30\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",33875.747834,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":61,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":22},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[13,62,63,64,65,66,67,68],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":79,"probability":39,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":22},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[13,80,81,82],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,1780676665089]