[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-ivn-cepeda-vote-share-in-2026-colombian-presidential-first-round-379":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"531050","ivn-cepeda-vote-share-in-2026-colombian-presidential-first-round-379","Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.","Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? is a prediction market focused on how many valid votes Iván Cepeda will win in Colombia’s first-round presidential election. The event matters because Colombia’s election is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a possible second round on June 21 if no candidate exceeds 50% of valid votes. This market does not ask whether Cepeda wins the presidency outright; it forecasts his individual vote share in the first round, based solely on the official count, even if he is associated with a broader coalition. Traders are currently assigning a 2.65% probability to the listed outcome, reflecting market sentiment and the present odds in this election forecast. The market remains open through the first-round voting period, and if results are delayed or a recount is required before the tally is official, resolution can extend until the count is finalized. If the election outcome is still unknown by December 31, 2026 ET, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket.","ELECTIONS","Global Elections",[11,13,14,15,16],"Politics","Elections","Colombia Election","Vote Share","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fcolombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner-mZ_LYPs3S8OL.png",2.65,4818.688535,11899.587032,57647.23268,3670.2284640000007,17508.6669131,true,false,"2026-05-28T02:36:59.531Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-27T15:21:58.081Z","2026-05-30T10:31:42.744Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fivn-cepeda-vote-share-in-2026-colombian-presidential-first-round-379?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"iván cepeda vote share in 2026 colombian presidential first round?","iván cepeda vote share in 2026 colombian presidential first round? prediction","iván cepeda vote share in 2026 colombian presidential first round? odds","iván cepeda vote share in 2026 colombian presidential first round? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:42:50.974Z","2026-05-30T10:43:23.477Z",0,[43,57,70],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":25},"411069","Daegu Mayoral Election Winner","daegu-mayoral-election-winner",[11,14,48,49,13,50],"Main Election","South Korea","South Korea Elections",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:52.210Z","2026-05-30T10:40:19.755Z","2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z","The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nInterim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.nec.go.kr\u002F).\n",199101.41762000002,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":61,"probability":64,"createdAt":65,"updatedAt":66,"resolutionDate":67,"description":68,"summary":68,"volume1wk":69,"featured":25},"34590","Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?","will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-colombias-election",[11,62,13,14,15,63],"World","Colombia",11.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:54.587Z","2026-05-30T10:35:19.386Z","2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",137519.23510599995,{"id":71,"title":72,"slug":73,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":74,"probability":78,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":81,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":25},"95248","Berlin State Election Winner","berlin-state-election-winner",[11,13,14,75,76,62,77,48],"Germany","World Elections","German Elections",23.4,"2026-05-30T10:43:13.857Z","2026-05-30T10:31:13.987Z","2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z","Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https:\u002F\u002Fwww.berlin.de\u002Fwahlen\u002F)\n",20839.398677,1780676608064]