[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":89},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-iowa-governor-republican-primary-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"101224","iowa-governor-republican-primary-winner","Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner","This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n","Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner is a political prediction market focused on who will win the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa. The forecasted outcome is straightforward: traders are pricing which candidate will emerge as the overall Republican primary winner, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, the market is set to resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026, giving the market a clear deadline tied to the official results. Resolution will be based first on the Iowa Republican Party’s announcement, although overwhelming consensus from credible reporting may also be enough. As of the latest market data, the current probability is 94.5%, indicating strong market sentiment around the expected outcome, though it is not guaranteed. This event sits at the intersection of elections, primaries, and state-level politics, and it is useful for anyone tracking political forecast movements, event prediction trends, and Republican primary odds in Iowa.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Elections","Primaries","primary elections","Republican Primary","Governor Primary","Iowa Primary","June 2 Primaries","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fiowa-governor-republican-primary-winner-v2jo0O-KShxg.png",94.5,38353.586674000006,52683.727504,116962.7576,32185.94052,58374.463108200005,true,false,"2025-12-09T23:16:48.443Z","2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-09T22:42:06.417Z","2026-05-30T10:30:05.826Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fiowa-governor-republican-primary-winner?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"iowa governor republican primary winner","iowa governor republican primary winner prediction","iowa governor republican primary winner odds","iowa governor republican primary winner probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:20:50.230Z","2026-05-30T10:43:02.455Z",0,[46,59,75],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":50,"probability":44,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":27},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,51,52,53],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":63,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":27},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,64,13,65,66,67,14,68],"US Election","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","United States",2.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-06-16T10:03:36.054Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",4777429.576322999,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":79,"probability":44,"createdAt":84,"updatedAt":85,"resolutionDate":86,"description":87,"summary":87,"volume1wk":88,"featured":27},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,80,53,81,82,52,51,83],"Iran Ceasefire","Vance","Trump","Peace Deal","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-06-16T10:07:26.988Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",4565895.467737994,1781809650283]