[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-how-many-south-korean-mayorgovernor-races-will-dp-win":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"482167","how-many-south-korean-mayorgovernor-races-will-dp-win","How many South Korean mayor\u002Fgovernor races will DP win?","South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.\n\nA candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.\n\nSouth Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:\n\nCities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong\n\nProvinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.\n\nIf the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.\n","How many South Korean mayor\u002Fgovernor races will DP win? is a political prediction market on the June 3, 2026 South Korean local elections, which will decide mayoral and gubernatorial contests across the country’s upper-level local governments. The market forecasts how many of these races will be won by the Democratic Party (DP), using official candidate nominations and election results for cities such as Seoul, Busan, Incheon, and Sejong, as well as provinces including Gyeonggi, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, and Jeju. Independent candidates do not count toward any party total. This event matters because it offers a clear read on South Korea’s local political balance and broader market sentiment ahead of a major nationwide vote. Traders are currently pricing the DP’s chances at about 10.5%, suggesting the expected outcome is relatively limited but not impossible. The market will resolve after the election results are known, with a fallback deadline of January 31, 2027, if results remain unavailable. As a political forecast, it reflects how participants interpret the odds of DP performance across South Korea’s mayoral and governor races.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16],"South Korea","Global Elections","Elections","South Korea Elections","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fhow-many-south-korean-mayorgovernor-races-will-dp-win-YtthBH1BvimA.png",10.5,3665.6195000000002,11713.157524,97110.55762,8486.396601,24768.8685312,true,false,"2026-05-13T22:42:30.228Z","2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-13T19:54:48.201Z","2026-05-30T10:30:52.387Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fhow-many-south-korean-mayorgovernor-races-will-dp-win?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"how many south korean mayor\u002Fgovernor races will dp win?","how many south korean mayor\u002Fgovernor races will dp win? prediction","how many south korean mayor\u002Fgovernor races will dp win? odds","how many south korean mayor\u002Fgovernor races will dp win? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:43:09.261Z","2026-05-30T10:43:23.792Z",0,[43,59,72],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":24},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,48,15,49,14,50,51,52],"US Election","World Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":63,"probability":41,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":24},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,64,65,66],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":41,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":24},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,77,66,78,79,65,64],"Iran Ceasefire","Vance","Trump","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-05-30T10:39:46.810Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",2654417.6848280015,1780676601859]