[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":17},"73105","how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2026","How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?","Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nAny individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. \n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.","How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026? is a geopolitical prediction market focused on the number of people who buy into Donald Trump’s proposed “Gold Card” program during calendar year 2026. The market forecasts how many individuals will receive the card between January 1 and December 31, 2026, under a new Trump Administration program that may offer U.S. citizenship, work permits, or another form of legal residency in exchange for a $5 million payment or similar investment. This event matters because it sits at the intersection of immigration policy, politics, and Trump-era governance, and traders are effectively pricing the expected outcome of a high-profile policy proposal. The market will resolve using official information from the Trump Administration, or credible reporting if no official total is published by year-end. The current market probability is not provided directly, but active trading, liquidity, and open interest suggest meaningful market sentiment around the forecast. The end date for resolution is December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, making this a long-horizon event prediction for traders tracking Trump, geopolitics, and immigration-related odds.","GEOPOLITICS","Trump",[11,13,14,15],"Geopolitics","Politics","H-1B","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fhow-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2025-UlOBdrjUX5Go.jpg",0,6093.910055,36774.424683000005,80029.86348,9890.533386000001,30085.2551284,true,false,"2025-11-05T16:41:31.038Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-04T19:02:13.301Z","2026-05-30T10:30:46.524Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fhow-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2026?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"how many gold cards will trump sell in 2026?","how many gold cards will trump sell in 2026? prediction","how many gold cards will trump sell in 2026? odds","how many gold cards will trump sell in 2026? probability","geopolitics prediction market","geopolitical forecast","geopolitical probability","2026-06-05T13:25:06.400Z","2026-05-30T10:43:06.385Z",[41,53,70],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":17,"createdAt":48,"updatedAt":49,"resolutionDate":50,"description":51,"summary":51,"volume1wk":52,"featured":24},"73923","Russia nuclear test by...?","russia-nuclear-test-by",[11,46,14,13,47],"putin","Ukraine","2026-05-30T10:43:11.664Z","2026-06-16T10:01:37.618Z","2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.\n\nAccidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as \"dirty bombs\"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nTests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 \"Vela Incident\" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.",4614861.809668998,{"id":54,"title":55,"slug":56,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":57,"probability":64,"createdAt":65,"updatedAt":66,"resolutionDate":67,"description":68,"summary":68,"volume1wk":69,"featured":24},"206793"," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30",[11,13,14,58,59,60,61,62,63],"Nuclear","Middle East","World","Iran","Iran Ceasefire","Negotiation Topics",37.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:51.905Z","2026-06-16T10:05:15.023Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. \n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. ",1537655.2906220006,{"id":71,"title":72,"slug":73,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":74,"probability":17,"createdAt":76,"updatedAt":77,"resolutionDate":26,"description":78,"summary":78,"volume1wk":79,"featured":24},"329654","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by",[11,61,75,13,62,14,63],"U.S. x Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.415Z","2026-06-16T10:01:37.765Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",1149452.4703149993,1781809648502]