[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":98},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"51456","how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.","How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? is a finance prediction market tracking the Federal Reserve’s policy path over the full 2026 calendar year. Traders are forecasting the total number of 25-basis-point rate cuts the Fed will make, including cuts announced at scheduled FOMC meetings and any emergency rate cuts outside the regular calendar. The market resolves based on official Federal Reserve and FOMC statements, with the final deadline set for December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET to capture any late-year action. In practical terms, a 50-basis-point cut would count as two cuts, while even a 1- to 24-basis-point reduction counts as one. This event matters because Fed rate cuts are a major signal for U.S. monetary policy, inflation expectations, and broader economic conditions, making it a closely watched economic policy forecast. Current market probability is 67.25%, suggesting traders currently expect a meaningful chance of the specified outcome, though the final odds can shift as the year progresses and new FOMC decisions are announced.","FINANCE","Business",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Fed Rates","Jerome Powell","Economic Policy","Fed","Economy","Finance","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fhow-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025-9qstZkSL1dn0.jpg",67.25,98030.97295600001,1679932.069899999,1635114.34476,1173746.2691970002,880017.9763999998,true,false,"2025-09-29T22:29:04.308Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-09-29T13:23:18.347Z","2026-05-30T10:39:15.480Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fhow-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"how many fed rate cuts in 2026?","how many fed rate cuts in 2026? prediction","how many fed rate cuts in 2026? odds","how many fed rate cuts in 2026? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-05T10:34:33.904Z","2026-05-30T10:42:45.795Z",0,[46,69,85],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":50,"probability":64,"createdAt":65,"updatedAt":66,"resolutionDate":30,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":28},"196914","Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?","largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287",[11,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,18,61,62,63],"Tech","Big Tech","Climate & Science","IPO","Science","sam altman","Elon Musk","AI","IPOs","SpaceX","OpenAI","Space","OpenAI IPO",null,"2026-05-30T10:42:58.862Z","2026-05-30T10:31:40.423Z","This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Freleases\u002Fh10\u002F). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.\n\nA listed company may resolve to \"No\" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",76542.04622700001,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":18,"tags":73,"probability":44,"createdAt":81,"updatedAt":82,"resolutionDate":83,"description":71,"summary":71,"volume1wk":84,"featured":27},"415443","What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026",[18,74,75,76,77,78,79,80],"Monthly","Hit Price","Hide From New","Finance Updown","Pyth Finance","Commodities","Oil","2026-05-30T10:42:43.693Z","2026-05-30T10:38:59.671Z","2026-05-31T17:00:00.000Z",12887084.736748997,{"id":86,"title":87,"slug":88,"category":10,"subcategory":15,"tags":89,"probability":92,"createdAt":93,"updatedAt":94,"resolutionDate":95,"description":96,"summary":96,"volume1wk":97,"featured":27},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825",[15,14,13,16,90,17,91],"Politics","fomc",0.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-05-30T10:39:31.611Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",11018139.856811013,1780676610386]