[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-15-june-21-20260612155039384":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"587938","how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-15-june-21-20260612155039384","How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?","This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https:\u002F\u002Fearthquake.usgs.gov\u002Fearthquakes\u002Fbrowse\u002Fsignificant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nThis market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21? is a weather prediction market asking traders to forecast the total number of earthquakes worldwide with magnitude 6.5 or higher during the June 15, 2026 through June 21, 2026 window. The event resolves using data from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with special rules if a qualifying quake is reported late or requires magnitude revisions after the final day. As an earthquake event in the Weather category, it focuses on a measurable natural disaster outcome rather than a broad sentiment call. Current market probability is about 45%, suggesting a fairly balanced forecast and moderate market sentiment around whether at least one major quake will occur in the period. The prediction market will remain open through June 21 at 11:59 PM ET, and resolution may be delayed briefly to confirm final USGS data. For event prediction and search indexing, this listing centers on earthquake frequency, USGS resolution timing, and the expected outcome for the June 15–June 21 timeframe.","WEATHER","earthquake",[11,13,14,15,16],"Earthquakes","Weather","Science","Natural Disaster","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fearthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg",0.45,11071.731666,13649.005834,18492.56363,7044.684173999999,13329.0803092,true,false,"2026-06-12T18:14:32.179Z","2026-06-21T23:59:00.000Z","2026-06-12T17:49:16.596Z","2026-06-16T10:01:07.442Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fhow-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-june-15-june-21-20260612155039384?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"how many 6.5 or above earthquakes june 15 - june 21?","how many 6.5 or above earthquakes june 15 - june 21? prediction","how many 6.5 or above earthquakes june 15 - june 21? odds","how many 6.5 or above earthquakes june 15 - june 21? probability","weather prediction market","weather forecast","weather probability","2026-06-16T10:30:33.665Z","2026-06-16T10:08:28.735Z",0,[43,56,68],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":47,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":24},"448037","Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026",[14,48,49],"Pandemics","Hantavirus",3.8,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.620Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.521Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a \"pandemic\" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a \"pandemic.\" A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",794518.5709409997,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":49,"tags":60,"probability":62,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":65,"description":66,"summary":66,"volume1wk":67,"featured":24},"488817","Ebola case in the US by June 30?","ebola-case-in-the-us-by-june-30",[49,14,61],"Ebola",14.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:05.245Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.359Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",31411.141916000015,{"id":69,"title":70,"slug":71,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":72,"probability":78,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":81,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":25},"593020","Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?","highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-june-16-2026",[14,73,74,75,76,77],"Recurring","Hide From New","Seoul","Daily Temperature","Highest temperature",0.05,"2026-06-16T10:07:58.583Z","2026-06-16T10:02:03.518Z","2026-06-16T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wunderground.com\u002Fhistory\u002Fdaily\u002Fkr\u002Fincheon\u002FRKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.",278629.6857159999,1781606290283]