[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"80773","how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026","How high will inflation get in 2026?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.bls.gov\u002Fbls\u002Fnews-release\u002Fcpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","How high will inflation get in 2026? is an economy prediction market centered on the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and whether inflation will rise above a listed threshold at any point during the 12-month periods ending in 2026. The market resolves using official monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) CPI reports, with the final outcome determined after the December 2026 data is issued, or by January 31, 2027 if that report has not been released. In plain terms, traders are forecasting the expected outcome for inflation over the year, not a specific monthly reading. This makes the event relevant to broader macro indicators, inflation expectations, and economic sentiment. Current market probability is very high at 97.65%, suggesting traders largely expect the threshold to be exceeded, though prediction market odds can change as new BLS data arrives. Because resolution depends on the official CPI news releases, this is a straightforward event prediction tied to one of the most closely watched measures of U.S. inflation.","ECONOMY","Inflation",[11,13,14,15],"Macro Indicators","Economy","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fhow-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025-uvsYb27mqBpZ.jpg",97.65,3800.841054,47381.642692,89157.9821,197529.94764600002,33946.509754599996,true,false,"2025-11-13T21:37:04.233Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-13T18:57:50.820Z","2026-05-30T10:31:33.769Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fhow-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"how high will inflation get in 2026?","how high will inflation get in 2026? prediction","how high will inflation get in 2026? odds","how high will inflation get in 2026? probability","economy prediction market","economic forecast","economic probability","2026-06-05T13:22:14.093Z","2026-05-30T10:43:03.816Z",0,[42,57,76],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":46,"tags":47,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":24},"385557","Largest Company end of May?","largest-company-end-of-may-167","Tech",[46,14,48,49,50],"Finance","Big Tech","Business",99.95,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.200Z","2026-05-30T10:37:43.438Z","2026-05-31T06:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",2345554.2487270003,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":61,"tags":62,"probability":70,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":73,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":24},"524097","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","transit",[61,63,64,14,65,66,67,68,69],"Iran","Oil","Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","ships","Strait of Hormuz","Hormuz",7.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.055Z","2026-05-30T10:31:45.641Z","2026-06-15T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1537804.481213998,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":10,"subcategory":68,"tags":80,"probability":82,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":24},"455867","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",[68,14,81,15,66,67,63,64,65],"Iran Ceasefire",56,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.752Z","2026-05-30T10:36:40.524Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1175859.2980450026,1780676586281]