[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-harvey-weinstein-prison-time":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"24383","harvey-weinstein-prison-time","Harvey Weinstein prison time?","This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","Harvey Weinstein prison time? is a culture prediction market in the Courts subcategory tracking the sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein in his ongoing New York retrial, People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein. The forecast asks a straightforward question: will the first sentence in this case include jail or prison time, or will the market resolve to No Prison Time if there is an acquittal, mistrial, no custodial sentence, or no sentencing by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution is based on the first sentencing outcome in the case and does not depend on appeals or whether any term runs concurrently with an existing sentence. As of the latest market data, traders assign about a 76% probability to prison time, suggesting market sentiment leans toward a custodial outcome. The event is relevant to observers of criminal courts, entertainment news, and high-profile legal proceedings, with official New York court information serving as the primary source for resolution.","CULTURE","Courts",[11,13,14],"Culture","Movies","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fharvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg",76,2177.301495,20403.958486,16994.76062,60597.113792,10608.790417299999,true,false,"2025-05-12T22:52:24.091Z","2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z","2025-05-12T22:26:22.013Z","2026-05-30T10:35:46.808Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fharvey-weinstein-prison-time?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"harvey weinstein prison time?","harvey weinstein prison time? prediction","harvey weinstein prison time? odds","harvey weinstein prison time? probability","culture prediction market","entertainment forecast","pop culture odds","2026-06-05T13:33:16.045Z","2026-05-30T10:43:14.215Z",0,[41,55,67],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":45,"probability":49,"createdAt":50,"updatedAt":51,"resolutionDate":52,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":22},"90177","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027",[13,46,47,48],"Politics","Science","Aliens",14.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.657Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.153Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",3652303.3036910007,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":59,"probability":39,"createdAt":62,"updatedAt":63,"resolutionDate":64,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":23},"145916","New \"Stranger Things\" episode released by...? ","new-stranger-things-episode-released-by-wednesday",[13,60,61,14],"TV","netflix","2026-05-30T10:42:43.455Z","2026-05-30T10:30:54.853Z","2026-01-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series.\n\nIf Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",19453459.412601095,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":71,"probability":74,"createdAt":75,"updatedAt":76,"resolutionDate":77,"description":78,"summary":78,"volume1wk":79,"featured":23},"515567","Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2",[13,46,72,73],"Tweet Markets","Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.824Z","2026-05-30T10:40:11.045Z","2026-06-02T16:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",3323634.386235,1780676599175]