[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":81},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"459188","hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1","Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nConfirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak.\n\nInvestigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? is a culture prediction market asking whether any hantavirus case linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship outbreak will be confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled lab setting by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The forecast focuses on a narrow evidentiary standard: credible reporting must confirm a lab-originated case, though it does not need to prove that this source directly caused the outbreak. Speculation, unverified claims, or statements that a lab origin has merely not been ruled out are not enough. The market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, making source quality central to the event prediction. As of the latest pricing, traders are assigning about a 1.35% probability to a Yes outcome, suggesting market sentiment expects a lab leak confirmation to remain unlikely before the deadline. For search and indexing, this event sits at the intersection of culture, hantavirus, and weather-related public attention, with the forecast tied to ongoing reporting rather than official conjecture.","CULTURE","Culture",[11,13,14],"Hantavirus","Weather","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fhantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-3C2cWRpFtCdu.jpg",1.35,75478.32345300002,120761.47503299997,111300.75474,164559.866964,96227.75518439998,true,false,"2026-05-07T17:56:39.330Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-07T17:38:26.443Z","2026-05-30T10:34:55.088Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fhantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"hantavirus lab leak confirmed by june 30?","hantavirus lab leak confirmed by june 30? prediction","hantavirus lab leak confirmed by june 30? odds","hantavirus lab leak confirmed by june 30? probability","culture prediction market","entertainment forecast","pop culture odds","2026-06-05T13:13:16.940Z","2026-05-30T10:42:55.440Z",0,[41,55,68],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":49,"createdAt":50,"updatedAt":51,"resolutionDate":52,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":22},"90177","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027",[11,46,47,48],"Politics","Science","Aliens",14.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.657Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.153Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",3652303.3036910007,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":59,"probability":39,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":65,"description":66,"summary":66,"volume1wk":67,"featured":23},"145916","New \"Stranger Things\" episode released by...? ","new-stranger-things-episode-released-by-wednesday",[11,60,61,62],"TV","netflix","Movies","2026-05-30T10:42:43.455Z","2026-05-30T10:30:54.853Z","2026-01-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series.\n\nIf Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",19453459.412601095,{"id":69,"title":70,"slug":71,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":72,"probability":75,"createdAt":76,"updatedAt":77,"resolutionDate":78,"description":79,"summary":79,"volume1wk":80,"featured":23},"515567","Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2",[11,46,73,74],"Tweet Markets","Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.824Z","2026-05-30T10:40:11.045Z","2026-06-02T16:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",3323634.386235,1780676636518]