[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":83},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"73223","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? is a political prediction market on whether Merz will cease to serve as Germany’s chancellor at any point by December 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if he resigns, is removed, or otherwise stops holding the office before the deadline; it resolves to No if he remains chancellor through the end of 2026. An announced resignation or removal before the market closes would trigger a Yes resolution even if the change takes effect later. The outcome will be determined using the German government as the primary resolution source, with credible reporting also acceptable. As of the latest data, traders are assigning about 23% probability to Merz being out of office before 2027, indicating market sentiment that the expected outcome is still more likely to be No. This event is relevant for observers of German politics, coalition stability, and broader European political forecasts, making it a closely watched event prediction in the World politics category.","POLITICS","World",[11,13,14],"Politics","Germany","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ffriedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg",23,4037.1089370000004,18751.285326000005,34335.2219,134684.446196,14510.9844463,true,false,"2025-11-05T19:40:45.390Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-04T22:21:25.013Z","2026-05-30T10:32:41.031Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ffriedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before 2027?","friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before 2027? prediction","friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before 2027? odds","friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before 2027? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:34:49.472Z","2026-05-30T10:43:15.768Z",0,[41,53,65],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":48,"createdAt":49,"updatedAt":50,"resolutionDate":25,"description":51,"summary":51,"volume1wk":52,"featured":23},"73871","Who will Trump meet with in 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026",[11,46,13,47],"Trump","Geopolitics",100,"2026-05-30T10:42:57.714Z","2026-05-30T10:40:21.810Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",88121.139551,{"id":54,"title":55,"slug":56,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":57,"probability":39,"createdAt":60,"updatedAt":61,"resolutionDate":62,"description":63,"summary":63,"volume1wk":64,"featured":23},"41359","Israeli parliament dissolved by...?","israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31",[11,58,13,59],"Israel","Middle East","2026-05-30T10:42:58.768Z","2026-05-30T10:32:58.869Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",76976.008345,{"id":66,"title":67,"slug":68,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":69,"probability":77,"createdAt":78,"updatedAt":79,"resolutionDate":80,"description":81,"summary":81,"volume1wk":82,"featured":23},"166435","Next Prime Minister of Sweden","next-prime-minister-of-sweden",[11,70,71,72,73,74,75,13,76],"Global Elections","Swedish","Elections","World Elections","Sweden","Rewards 20, 4.5, 50","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:43:02.086Z","2026-05-30T10:30:30.567Z","2026-09-13T00:00:00.000Z","Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",54010.386619,1780676616732]