[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-france-united-left-primary-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"438483","france-united-left-primary-winner","France United Left Primary Winner","The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","France United Left Primary Winner is a prediction market on who will win the 2026 United Left primary and become the joint candidate supported by participating left-wing parties and movements for the 2027 French presidential election. The market is centered on the primary scheduled for October 11, 2026, and it resolves to the nominee selected through that process, with specific fallback rules if the primary is canceled or no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027. In practical terms, traders are forecasting which candidate will secure the left-wing nomination in France’s evolving election landscape. This event matters because the United Left primary is intended to unify several political groups behind one presidential contender, making it a key signal of market sentiment ahead of the 2027 campaign. Current market probability for the leading expected outcome is about 35%, suggesting a fairly open contest rather than a clear favorite. Resolution is based on credible reporting and official announcements from organizers or participating parties, which makes the event prediction dependent on real-time political developments, party participation, and nomination announcements.","ELECTIONS","french",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Global Elections","France","Politics","Elections","Rewards 20, 4.5, 50","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ffrance-united-left-primary-winner-3u93gPEnvdmb.png",0.35,4057.567332000001,9770.794992000001,94317.14186,8546.103238,23823.4505356,true,false,"2026-05-05T23:56:06.315Z","2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-01T17:22:53.521Z","2026-05-30T10:40:26.561Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ffrance-united-left-primary-winner?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"france united left primary winner","france united left primary winner prediction","france united left primary winner odds","france united left primary winner probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:46:44.305Z","2026-05-30T10:43:27.121Z",0,[44,60,72],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":49,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":25},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","World Elections",[48,13,16,15,50,51,52,53],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.146Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",14863770.623744,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":64,"probability":67,"createdAt":68,"updatedAt":69,"resolutionDate":57,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":25},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[48,13,50,16,15,51,65,53,66],"President","Main Election",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-05-30T10:38:06.128Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",12762950.039931998,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":15,"tags":76,"probability":80,"createdAt":81,"updatedAt":82,"resolutionDate":83,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":25},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[15,13,16,77,48,78,79,66],"World","Colombia Election","Colombia",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,1780676588091]