[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":91},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-first-round-outright-winner-in-the-la-mayoral-election":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"485258","first-round-outright-winner-in-the-la-mayoral-election","First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?","The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.","First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? is a prediction market on whether any candidate will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election outright in the first round by securing more than 50% of valid votes. The first round is scheduled for June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. If no candidate clears the majority threshold, the market resolves to No. This event matters because a first-round victory would avoid a runoff and signal a clear mandate in one of the country’s largest cities. Traders are currently assigning a low probability of about 5% to an outright first-round win, suggesting market sentiment expects the race to advance to a second round. The market will resolve based on consensus credible reporting, or official results from the city and county of Los Angeles if there is any ambiguity. For election watchers and prediction market participants, this is a straightforward election forecast tied to Los Angeles politics, election odds, and the expected outcome of the LA mayoral election.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"US Election","Los Angeles","Elections","Los Angeles Mayoral Election","LA Mayor","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Flos-angeles-mayoral-election-117-lQx0FWLF3whu.jpg",5,60.471455999999996,10097.085561999998,25216.9872,13888.726275,8102.7588366,true,false,"2026-05-15T19:54:34.075Z","2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-14T16:28:25.441Z","2026-05-30T10:30:11.619Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ffirst-round-outright-winner-in-the-la-mayoral-election?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"first round outright winner in the la mayoral election?","first round outright winner in the la mayoral election? prediction","first round outright winner in the la mayoral election? odds","first round outright winner in the la mayoral election? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:45:52.851Z","2026-05-30T10:43:26.343Z",0,[44,61,75],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":58,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":25},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,49,15,50,51,52,53,54],"Global Elections","World","World Elections","Colombia Election","Colombia","Main Election",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":65,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":26},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,49,51,15,66,67,54,68],"Peru","Peru Election","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-05-30T10:40:04.425Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",3592881.1421839977,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":79,"probability":85,"createdAt":86,"updatedAt":87,"resolutionDate":88,"description":89,"summary":89,"volume1wk":90,"featured":26},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,80,49,81,82,54,15,83,84],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",74,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.628Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",1004735.6340569996,1780676588121]