[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":81},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-fed-rate-hike-in-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"101936","fed-rate-hike-in-2026","Fed rate hike in 2026?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Fed rate hike in 2026? is a finance prediction market asking whether the Federal Reserve will increase the upper bound of the target federal funds rate at any point in 2026. The market is focused on Fed monetary policy and Jerome Powell’s central bank decisions, with resolution tied to official Federal Reserve announcements and, if needed, credible reporting. It will resolve “Yes” if the Fed raises rates between January 1, 2026 and the December 8-9, 2026 meeting; otherwise it resolves “No” after the post-meeting decision is released. As of the latest data, traders are pricing in a 31.5% probability of a rate hike, suggesting market sentiment leans toward no change but leaves meaningful odds for an increase. The event matters because Fed rate decisions influence inflation expectations, borrowing costs, and broader macro conditions. For prediction market participants, this is a straightforward event prediction on the direction of U.S. interest rates before year-end 2026.","FINANCE","Fed",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Economic Policy","Jerome Powell","Economy","Fed Rates","Macro Single","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-in-2025-PQTEYZMvmAGr.jpg",31.5,3591.62257,87431.91223,58184.4731,363534.929728,39662.279574,true,false,"2025-12-10T21:11:18.479Z","2026-12-09T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-10T20:33:36.674Z","2026-05-30T10:31:39.320Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ffed-rate-hike-in-2026?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"fed rate hike in 2026?","fed rate hike in 2026? prediction","fed rate hike in 2026? odds","fed rate hike in 2026? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-05T13:15:52.646Z","2026-05-30T10:42:57.847Z",0,[44,56,67],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":26},"106884","Fed rate cut by...?","fed-rate-cut-by-629",[11,14,15,13,16,49],"Finance",1.6,"2026-05-30T10:42:50.812Z","2026-05-30T10:38:03.467Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",275213.65961999993,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":42,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":53,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":26},"192082","Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)","fed-decisions-mar-jun",[11,61,15,16,13,14,62],"Parlays","fomc","2026-05-30T10:42:53.969Z","2026-05-30T10:38:42.953Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm",149936.96671800004,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":71,"probability":75,"createdAt":76,"updatedAt":77,"resolutionDate":78,"description":79,"summary":79,"volume1wk":80,"featured":26},"145648","Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?","jerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by",[11,72,14,13,16,73,74],"Trump","Politics","Fed Chair",0.35,"2026-05-30T10:43:18.951Z","2026-05-30T10:33:09.516Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",16177.546316,1780676610082]