[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-fed-rate-hike-by":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"329566","fed-rate-hike-by","Fed rate hike by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nEmergency rate hikes will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","\"Fed rate hike by...?\" is a Finance prediction market on whether the Federal Reserve will raise the upper bound of the target federal funds rate during the listed FOMC meeting window. The event resolves to Yes if an increase is announced at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of that meeting, including any rate hike tied to the meeting itself; otherwise it resolves to No. Emergency rate hikes also count, and the Fed’s official policy releases are the primary resolution source. If the meeting does not occur within seven calendar days of its scheduled end date, and no qualifying move is announced, the market resolves to No. The forecast is closely watched because FOMC decisions shape inflation expectations, borrowing costs, and broader market sentiment around Fed policy under Jerome Powell. Current market probability is about 55%, suggesting traders see the odds as roughly balanced but slightly tilted toward a hike. As a prediction market event, it reflects live event prediction and changing trader expectations ahead of the deadline window ending October 29, 2026.","FINANCE","fomc",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Inflation","Fed","Jerome Powell","Finance","Fed Rates","Economy","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ffed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg",0.55,1104.794407,15864.693074,90623.27945,27616.185158999997,23436.461015700002,true,false,"2026-03-31T21:39:48.224Z","2026-10-29T00:00:00.000Z","2026-03-31T16:54:53.661Z","2026-06-16T10:00:34.997Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ffed-rate-hike-by?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"fed rate hike by...?","fed rate hike by...? prediction","fed rate hike by...? odds","fed rate hike by...? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-16T10:28:48.404Z","2026-06-16T10:08:26.534Z",0,[45,58,69],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":27},"287395","Fed Decision in July?","fed-decision-in-july-181",[11,50,18,15,14,17,51],"Economic Policy","Politics",93.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:48.329Z","2026-06-16T10:01:04.979Z","2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",1450603.229964,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":63,"createdAt":64,"updatedAt":65,"resolutionDate":66,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":27},"481717","Fed Decision in September?","fed-decision-in-september-762",[11,50,15,17,51,14,18],2.55,"2026-05-30T10:43:09.482Z","2026-06-16T10:02:02.083Z","2026-09-16T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",138619.03081999999,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":73,"probability":74,"createdAt":75,"updatedAt":76,"resolutionDate":77,"description":78,"summary":78,"volume1wk":79,"featured":26},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825",[50,15,17,14,51,18,11],0.45,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-06-16T10:06:42.413Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",43753405.28664605,1781606300469]