[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":81},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-fed-rate-cut-by-629":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"106884","fed-rate-cut-by-629","Fed rate cut by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Fed rate cut by...? is a prediction market on whether the Federal Reserve will lower the upper bound of the target federal funds rate before the January 2026 FOMC meeting concludes. The market resolves to “Yes” if the Fed announces a rate cut at any point between December 16, 2025 and the end of the January 27-28, 2026 meeting; if no qualifying cut occurs by the specified February 7, 2026 cutoff, it resolves to “No.” Emergency rate cuts also count. This event matters because Fed policy is a key driver of inflation expectations, borrowing costs, and broader financial conditions, making it closely watched by traders, economists, and market participants following Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve. As of the latest data, the market probability is about 1.6%, suggesting traders currently assign a low chance of an imminent rate cut. That sentiment reflects the event prediction embedded in Fed rates, economic policy, and the wider finance category. Resolution will rely primarily on official Federal Reserve communications, with credible reporting used as backup when needed.","FINANCE","Fed",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Jerome Powell","Economy","Economic Policy","Fed Rates","Finance","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ffed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",1.6,15938.882540000002,275213.65961999993,154076.60886,231010.44370000003,121348.86092799998,true,false,"2025-12-16T19:36:41.877Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-16T17:20:13.708Z","2026-05-30T10:38:03.467Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ffed-rate-cut-by-629?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"fed rate cut by...?","fed rate cut by...? prediction","fed rate cut by...? odds","fed rate cut by...? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-05T13:08:24.465Z","2026-05-30T10:42:50.812Z",0,[44,55,67],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":42,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":28,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":26},"192082","Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)","fed-decisions-mar-jun",[11,49,14,16,15,13,50],"Parlays","fomc","2026-05-30T10:42:53.969Z","2026-05-30T10:38:42.953Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm",149936.96671800004,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":59,"probability":61,"createdAt":62,"updatedAt":63,"resolutionDate":64,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":26},"101936","Fed rate hike in 2026?","fed-rate-hike-in-2026",[11,15,13,14,16,60],"Macro Single",31.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:57.847Z","2026-05-30T10:31:39.320Z","2026-12-09T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",87431.91223,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":71,"probability":75,"createdAt":76,"updatedAt":77,"resolutionDate":78,"description":79,"summary":79,"volume1wk":80,"featured":26},"145648","Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?","jerome-powell-out-from-fed-board-by",[11,72,13,15,16,73,74],"Trump","Politics","Fed Chair",0.35,"2026-05-30T10:43:18.951Z","2026-05-30T10:33:09.516Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",16177.546316,1780676610275]