[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":87},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-eunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-before-2027":3},{"event":4,"related":47},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":22,"probability":23,"volume24hr":24,"volume1wk":25,"liquidity":26,"openInterest":27,"trendScore":28,"active":29,"closed":30,"featured":30,"startDate":31,"endDate":32,"createdAtRemote":33,"updatedAtRemote":34,"affiliateUrl":35,"polymarketUrl":35,"searchKeywords":36,"syncedAt":44,"createdAt":45,"marketCount":46},"129474","eunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-before-2027","EU\u002FNATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.\n\nAnnouncements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","EU\u002FNATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on whether any NATO or EU member state will officially announce that it is sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event resolves to Yes only if the announcement is part of a formal agreement or clear formalized policy, not a tentative statement of intent. Credible reporting may be used, but the primary resolution source is official information from NATO, the EU, or member governments. This forecast matters because it sits at the intersection of Ukraine, the broader Russia-Ukraine war, and European security policy, with potential implications for diplomacy, military planning, and any emerging Ukraine peace deal. Current market probability is about 16%, suggesting traders currently see the expected outcome as relatively unlikely, though not impossible. As a prediction market, it reflects market sentiment around whether EU or NATO governments will move from discussion to an official peacekeeping commitment before the deadline.","GEOPOLITICS","World",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21],"Trump","Politics","zelenskyy","eu","Ukraine","putin","NATO","Geopolitics","Ukraine Peace Deal","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Feunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-FGU2DfeSjhiB.jpg",16,190,10641.412351,20646.44207,18756.374101,7416.7121193,true,false,"2025-12-28T23:12:53.842Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-28T18:10:03.641Z","2026-06-16T10:02:13.304Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Feunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-before-2027?r=predstack",[37,38,39,40,41,42,43],"eu\u002Fnato country announces peacekeeping force in ukraine by...?","eu\u002Fnato country announces peacekeeping force in ukraine by...? prediction","eu\u002Fnato country announces peacekeeping force in ukraine by...? odds","eu\u002Fnato country announces peacekeeping force in ukraine by...? probability","geopolitics prediction market","geopolitical forecast","geopolitical probability","2026-06-16T10:33:46.258Z","2026-06-16T10:08:32.518Z",0,[48,63,74],{"id":49,"title":50,"slug":51,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":52,"probability":46,"createdAt":58,"updatedAt":59,"resolutionDate":60,"description":61,"summary":61,"volume1wk":62,"featured":30},"72352","Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?","will-russia-capture-all-of-kupiansk-by",[11,53,20,14,18,54,55,56,17,57],"Kupyansk","Military Actions","Russia Capture","Ukraine Map","Russia","2026-05-30T10:42:53.083Z","2026-06-16T10:03:16.608Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nKupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\u002F\u002Fstorymaps.arcgis.com\u002Fstories\u002F36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as \"Moskovka\" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fh-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.\n\nOnce Russia captures Kupiansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nKupiansk Location: https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002FKupiansk+location.jpeg\nLocation on Google maps: https:\u002F\u002Fmaps.app.goo.gl\u002FngCjTi39GSjbzaC46 \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\u002F\u002Fdeepstatemap.live\u002F) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.",844316.1563289999,{"id":64,"title":65,"slug":66,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":67,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":60,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":30},"107726","Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?","will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2026",[11,68,20,14],"China",0.35,"2026-05-30T10:42:49.544Z","2026-06-16T10:05:12.488Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",680097.4484820002,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":78,"probability":82,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":32,"description":85,"summary":85,"volume1wk":86,"featured":30},"34051","Netanyahu out by...?","netanyahu-out-before-2027",[11,20,79,80,14,81],"Middle East","Israel","Earn 4%",64.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:49.232Z","2026-06-16T10:06:16.880Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from\u002Fis removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if\u002Fwhen he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",563059.4055219998,1781606238323]