[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":91},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-ecb-interest-rates-june-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"287227","ecb-interest-rates-june-2026","ECB Interest Rates: June 2026","This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.ecb.europa.eu\u002Fpress\u002Fcalendars\u002Fmgcgc\u002Fhtml\u002Findex.en.html\n\nThe level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.ecb.europa.eu\u002Fstats\u002Fpolicy_and_exchange_rates\u002Fkey_ecb_interest_rates\u002Fhtml\u002Findex.en.html\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.\n\nIf no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.","ECB Interest Rates: June 2026 is a prediction market on how the European Central Bank will change the upper bound of the deposit facility rate after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting. The forecast focuses on the size of the move in basis points versus the rate level in place before the meeting, with any off-grid outcome rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution. If the ECB does not publish an interest rate decision or update by July 31, 2026, the market resolves to the “No change” bracket.\n\nThis economy and interest rates event matters because the ECB’s policy decision can shape borrowing costs, inflation expectations, and broader market sentiment across Europe and the global rates complex. Traders in the prediction market are currently assigning a 15% probability to the event’s tracked outcome, indicating relatively low odds while leaving room for changes in expectation as the meeting approaches. Resolution will rely on official ECB releases and the bank’s published interest rates page, making this a straightforward event prediction tied to one of Europe’s most closely watched economic policy announcements.","ECONOMY","interest rates",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Europe","Economy","Global Rates","Economic Policy","European Central Bank","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fecb-interest-rates-april-2025-DJ5nB6uaqtx5.png",0.15,13272.254255,142377.00841,80640.6096,75275.04712300001,65477.351570499995,true,false,"2026-03-19T23:33:53.809Z","2026-06-11T00:00:00.000Z","2026-03-19T19:34:48.048Z","2026-05-30T10:38:09.844Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fecb-interest-rates-june-2026?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"ecb interest rates: june 2026","ecb interest rates: june 2026 prediction","ecb interest rates: june 2026 odds","ecb interest rates: june 2026 probability","economy prediction market","economic forecast","economic probability","2026-06-05T13:11:55.505Z","2026-05-30T10:42:54.307Z",0,[44,59,78],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":49,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":26},"385557","Largest Company end of May?","largest-company-end-of-may-167","Tech",[48,14,50,51,52],"Finance","Big Tech","Business",99.95,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.200Z","2026-05-30T10:37:43.438Z","2026-05-31T06:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",2345554.2487270003,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":63,"tags":64,"probability":72,"createdAt":73,"updatedAt":74,"resolutionDate":75,"description":76,"summary":76,"volume1wk":77,"featured":26},"524097","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","transit",[63,65,66,14,67,68,69,70,71],"Iran","Oil","Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","ships","Strait of Hormuz","Hormuz",7.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.055Z","2026-05-30T10:31:45.641Z","2026-06-15T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1537804.481213998,{"id":79,"title":80,"slug":81,"category":10,"subcategory":70,"tags":82,"probability":85,"createdAt":86,"updatedAt":87,"resolutionDate":88,"description":89,"summary":89,"volume1wk":90,"featured":26},"455867","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",[70,14,83,84,68,69,65,66,67],"Iran Ceasefire","Politics",56,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.752Z","2026-05-30T10:36:40.524Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",1175859.2980450026,1780676619727]