[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-crude-oil-all-time-high-by":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"435099","crude-oil-all-time-high-by","Crude Oil all time high by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.cmegroup.com\u002Fmarkets\u002Fenergy\u002Fcrude-oil\u002Flight-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily \"High\" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.","Crude Oil all time high by...? is a geopolitics prediction market asking whether CME front-month crude oil futures will trade above $147.27 before the market’s deadline on December 31, 2026. The contract resolves “Yes” if the CME Group’s official daily high for the active month of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures exceeds that level on any trading day after market creation; otherwise it resolves “No.” Because the market uses the active month front contract, it tracks the nearest listed CL futures month and can settle as soon as qualifying CME data is published. This event matters because crude oil prices are closely watched across geopolitics, commodities, finance, and energy markets, with traders often using prediction markets to gauge market sentiment around supply shocks, inflation, and Iran-related risk. Current market probability stands at about 30%, suggesting traders see the odds of a new all-time high as possible but far from assured. The forecast is therefore centered on whether crude oil can break its prior peak before the end-of-year cutoff, making this a closely watched event prediction for energy and geopolitics watchers.","GEOPOLITICS","Geopolitics",[11,13,14,15,16],"Commodities","Oil","Finance","Iran","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fcrude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",0.3,31434.364977,177506.47617,111863.96319,199097.45532300003,91341.9179775,true,false,"2026-04-30T18:44:43.400Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-30T17:07:39.909Z","2026-05-30T10:34:27.339Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fcrude-oil-all-time-high-by?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"crude oil all time high by...?","crude oil all time high by...? prediction","crude oil all time high by...? odds","crude oil all time high by...? probability","geopolitics prediction market","geopolitical forecast","geopolitical probability","2026-06-05T13:10:18.371Z","2026-05-30T10:42:52.729Z",0,[43,58,72],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":41,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":27,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":24},"310530","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",[11,48,49,50,51,52,16,53],"Trump","Middle East","Iran Ceasefire","Politics","U.S. x Iran","Nuclear","2026-05-30T10:42:44.555Z","2026-05-30T10:32:05.315Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",4017181.6218990027,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":41,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":25},"386788","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",[11,63,50,64,16,65,66],"Lebanon","Israel","Israel x Iran","Hezbollah","2026-05-30T10:42:45.304Z","2026-05-30T10:36:14.427Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",2228964.1721680006,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":79,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":27,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":25},"73130","Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027",[11,51,49,64,16,48,77,78],"World","Military Strikes",18.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.702Z","2026-05-30T10:32:16.867Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.",1710369.6938979982,1780676605987]