[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-congress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-june-30":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"536225","congress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-june-30","Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US\u002FIsrael-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nLegislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US\u002FIsrael–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US\u002FIsrael-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.\n\nA measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.\n\nThe resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.","Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? is a political prediction market on whether both chambers of Congress will approve the same bill, measure, or resolution limiting U.S. military action in the recent U.S.\u002FIsrael-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. For this market to resolve Yes, the House of Representatives and Senate must finally pass identical legislation that explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other operations against Iran or proxy forces. Non-binding statements or broad resolutions that do not limit military action do not count.\n\nThis event matters because it tests congressional willingness to constrain executive war powers during a sensitive geopolitical confrontation involving the United States, Israel, and Iran. Market sentiment currently implies a low expected outcome, with the probability near 3.15%, suggesting traders see passage as unlikely before the deadline. Resolution will rely on official congressional voting records and credible reporting, making it a closely watched political forecast for Congress, Iran policy, and U.S. foreign affairs.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16],"Iran","Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Congress","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fcongress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-march-31-hN0W7h8O4cqr.jpg",3.15,2137.8900620000004,71524.935012,25195.66679,25922.099742,27565.5588926,true,false,"2026-05-29T13:22:21.333Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-29T00:50:34.613Z","2026-06-16T10:00:26.874Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fcongress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-june-30?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30?","congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30? prediction","congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30? odds","congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-16T10:14:53.846Z","2026-06-16T10:08:06.329Z",0,[43,53,71],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":41,"createdAt":48,"updatedAt":49,"resolutionDate":50,"description":51,"summary":51,"volume1wk":52,"featured":24},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,14,15,13],"2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":54,"title":55,"slug":56,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":57,"probability":65,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":24},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,58,59,60,61,62,63,64],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-06-16T10:03:36.054Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",4777429.576322999,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":41,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":24},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,76,13,77,78,15,14,79],"Iran Ceasefire","Vance","Trump","Peace Deal","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-06-16T10:07:26.988Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",4565895.467737994,1781809625016]