[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-colombia-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260604201910879":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"563121","colombia-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260604201910879","Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory","The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory is a prediction market tracking how large the winning gap will be between the top two candidates in the second round of Colombia’s 2026 presidential election. The runoff is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026, and the market will resolve based on the absolute difference in valid-vote percentages between first and second place, using the official vote count once it is made final by Colombia’s National Civil Registry. If the election outcome is delayed, the market can remain open until any recount is completed, with a backstop resolution deadline of December 31, 2026.\n\nThis event matters because runoff margins can signal the strength of the eventual mandate and shape market sentiment around Colombia’s political direction. Traders are forecasting the expected outcome by pricing in election odds and the likely size of the victory rather than just the winner. The current market probability is 52.5%, indicating a fairly balanced event prediction with moderate confidence in the leading bracket. As a Colombia elections market, it sits at the intersection of political analysis, election forecasting, and global election coverage.","ELECTIONS","Colombia",[11,13,14,15,16],"Elections","Politics","Global Elections","rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fcolombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner-mZ_LYPs3S8OL.png",52.5,21456.594311,89471.461299,176727.13202,28830.747005999998,72915.1619492,true,false,"2026-06-05T19:56:52.601Z","2026-06-22T03:59:00.000Z","2026-06-05T19:40:15.503Z","2026-06-16T10:02:15.112Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fcolombia-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory-20260604201910879?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"colombia presidential election runoff: margin of victory","colombia presidential election runoff: margin of victory prediction","colombia presidential election runoff: margin of victory odds","colombia presidential election runoff: margin of victory probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:14:12.606Z","2026-06-16T10:08:04.678Z",0,[43,58,73],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":47,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":24},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[14,15,48,13,49,50,51],"World Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":62,"probability":67,"createdAt":68,"updatedAt":69,"resolutionDate":70,"description":71,"summary":71,"volume1wk":72,"featured":24},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[48,15,13,14,63,64,65,66],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.972Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9084772.468148999,{"id":74,"title":75,"slug":76,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":77,"probability":79,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":70,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":24},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[48,15,63,13,14,64,78,66,51],"President",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-06-16T10:05:49.318Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",6422552.3238429995,1781606268273]