[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":87},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"401427","colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory","Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory? is a prediction market on the size of the lead between the top two candidates in Colombia’s presidential election first round. The market forecasts the absolute difference in valid-vote percentages between first place and second place, using the official results from the Colombian government and National Civil Registry once the count is finalized. Voting is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes. The event remains open until the official vote total is confirmed, and a recount can delay resolution if one is initiated before the result is made official. Current market probability is about 3.3%, indicating traders see a very low chance of the lowest margin bracket relative to other outcomes. As an election forecast, the market reflects sentiment on how competitive the first round may be and whether the race produces a narrow or wider margin. It is relevant to global elections, Colombia politics, and election odds analysis.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15],"Global Elections","Colombia Election","Elections","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fcolombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner-mZ_LYPs3S8OL.png",3.3,3900.0844030000003,48498.89307,131396.83281,28703.184542000003,42779.076684499996,true,false,"2026-04-21T19:41:43.299Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-21T02:30:32.395Z","2026-05-30T10:34:39.473Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fcolombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"colombia election 1st round: margin of victory?","colombia election 1st round: margin of victory? prediction","colombia election 1st round: margin of victory? odds","colombia election 1st round: margin of victory? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:21:50.981Z","2026-05-30T10:43:03.463Z",0,[42,57,71],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":46,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":23},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,13,15,47,48,14,49,50],"World","World Elections","Colombia","Main Election",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":61,"probability":65,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":24},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,13,48,15,62,63,50,64],"Peru","Peru Election","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-05-30T10:40:04.425Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",3592881.1421839977,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":84,"description":85,"summary":85,"volume1wk":86,"featured":24},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,76,13,77,78,50,15,79,80],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",74,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.628Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",1004735.6340569996,1780676608301]