[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":89},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-claudia-sheinbaum-out-as-president-of-mexico-by-june-30":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":17},"64839","claudia-sheinbaum-out-as-president-of-mexico-by-june-30","Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo announces she is resigning as President of Mexico or otherwise ceases to be President of Mexico for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum’s resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Claudia Sheinbaum or the Government of Mexico, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...? is a prediction market focused on whether Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo will resign, be removed, or otherwise cease to serve as President of Mexico for any period before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes if an official resignation or removal is announced before the deadline, even if the change takes effect later; otherwise it resolves to No. Because the primary resolution sources are Sheinbaum herself or the Government of Mexico, with credible reporting also considered, this is an event prediction tied closely to political developments in Mexico rather than routine election timing. The forecast is relevant for traders watching Mexico politics, the Mexico cartel war, and broader market sentiment around government stability. As of the latest data, the market probability is 0%, indicating traders currently see virtually no chance of Sheinbaum leaving office by the specified date. The event remains active through the forecast window, making it a clear example of an election prediction market where odds can shift quickly if major political or security developments emerge.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15],"Mexico","Mexico Cartel War","mencho","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fclaudia-sheinbaum-out-as-president-of-mexico-by-june-30-GKh6Pm2q5yVp.jpg",0,1732.169155,26385.735459999996,32120.89748,30929.130526,15205.9847115,true,false,"2025-10-27T23:30:18.870Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-10-24T22:18:08.169Z","2026-06-16T10:02:00.361Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fclaudia-sheinbaum-out-as-president-of-mexico-by-june-30?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"claudia sheinbaum out as president of mexico by...?","claudia sheinbaum out as president of mexico by...? prediction","claudia sheinbaum out as president of mexico by...? odds","claudia sheinbaum out as president of mexico by...? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:08:18.062Z","2026-05-30T10:43:13.809Z",[41,58,73],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":23},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,46,47,48,49,50,51],"Global Elections","World Elections","Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":67,"createdAt":68,"updatedAt":69,"resolutionDate":70,"description":71,"summary":71,"volume1wk":72,"featured":23},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,46,48,63,47,64,65,51,66],"World","Colombia Election","Colombia","Macro Election 1",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-06-16T10:05:17.604Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",1044563.6338270012,{"id":74,"title":75,"slug":76,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":77,"probability":83,"createdAt":84,"updatedAt":85,"resolutionDate":86,"description":87,"summary":87,"volume1wk":88,"featured":24},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,78,46,79,80,51,48,81,82],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",77.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-06-16T10:06:49.555Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",3351349.079954987,1781809624610]