[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-claude-mythos-released-by":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":17},"314315","claude-mythos-released-by","Claude Mythos released by…?","A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased \"Claude Mythos\" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https:\u002F\u002Ffortune.com\u002F2026\u002F03\u002F26\u002Fanthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities\u002F.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic releases \"Claude Mythos\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Claude Mythos\" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7\u002F5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however,  a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Claude Mythos released by…? is a technology prediction market focused on whether Anthropic will publicly release its rumored Claude Mythos AI model by the listed deadline. The market is based on a March 26, 2026 data leak that revealed details about an unreleased Anthropic model described as especially strong in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity. Anthropic later confirmed it was testing the model in early access, making the release question materially relevant for AI watchers and prediction market traders. \n\nFor this event to resolve Yes, a qualifying model named Claude Mythos — or a model confirmed by Anthropic or credible reporting to be the same leaked model — must be publicly accessible to the general public, not just available through a closed beta or private testing. The forecast centers on the expected outcome of an official public launch, with resolution tied to Anthropic’s own announcements or consensus reporting. \n\nThe market runs from March 27, 2026 through April 30, 2026 ET. Current market probability is not available in the provided data, but the event has active volume and open interest, making it a closely watched AI and Anthropic forecast.","TECH","anthropic",[11,13,14,15],"Tech","AI","Claude","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fclaude-5-released-by-JDewQT893n65.jpg",0,21993.08861599996,98854.09652399996,35759.1102,64505.551364000006,47804.59530519997,true,false,"2026-03-27T16:38:09.440Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-03-27T16:01:02.611Z","2026-05-30T10:37:45.464Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fclaude-mythos-released-by?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"claude mythos released by…?","claude mythos released by…? prediction","claude mythos released by…? odds","claude mythos released by…? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-05T13:14:44.133Z","2026-05-30T10:42:56.799Z",[41,57,74],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":45,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":23},"57711","Largest Company end of June?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",[14,13,46,47,48,49,50],"Big Tech","Economy","DeepSeek","Business","Finance",89,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.353Z","2026-05-30T10:36:33.619Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",2205699.1277590003,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":61,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":23},"500775","Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?","will-openais-valuation-hit-by-december-31",[50,62,63,13,46,14,64,65,66,67],"Privates","llm","chatgpt","sam altman","OpenAI","OpenAI IPO",6.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:56.965Z","2026-05-30T10:34:16.260Z","2027-01-01T12:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.\n\nIf NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.\n\nIf NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. \n\nIf the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.\n\nPublic market capitalization will be determined using the highest\u002Flowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.\n\nIf the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.\n\nIf the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https:\u002F\u002Ffe.secondmarket.com\u002Fcompanies\u002Fcompany-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca\u002Fdata?return_url=https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Ffinance\u002Fprivates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.\n\nRevisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.",98053.93702400001,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":78,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":54,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":24},"57705","Which company has best AI model end of June?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",[13,46,79,80,66,14],"GPT-5","Grok",13.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.365Z","2026-05-30T10:34:07.757Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",1313459.0318739992,1780676630387]