[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":82},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-claude-5-released-by":3},{"event":4,"related":39},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":16},"36308","claude-5-released-by","Claude 5 released by…?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nClaude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","Claude 5 released by…? is a technology prediction market tracking whether Anthropic will make Claude 5 available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes only if Anthropic publicly launches a product explicitly named Claude 5, or a clearly recognized successor to Claude 4, with broad public access such as an open beta or open rolling waitlist. Private or closed beta access does not qualify. For this event prediction, traders are forecasting the timing and scope of Anthropic’s next major AI model release, which matters because Claude is a prominent competitor in the AI and large language model sector. The current market probability is 0%, indicating no priced-in expectation of a qualifying release at the moment, though prediction market sentiment can change quickly as new product announcements or credible reporting emerge. The market began on August 7, 2025 and is scheduled to run through April 30, 2026, with official Anthropic disclosures serving as the primary resolution source.","TECH","AI",[11,13,14],"Tech","Claude 5","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fclaude-5-released-by-JDewQT893n65.jpg",0,29074.594659,635833.2265890003,48641.45887,363997.1136909999,215015.5570802001,true,false,"2025-08-07T20:45:08.401Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","2025-08-07T20:08:08.697Z","2026-05-30T10:36:27.841Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fclaude-5-released-by?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"claude 5 released by…?","claude 5 released by…? prediction","claude 5 released by…? odds","claude 5 released by…? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-05T13:05:40.398Z","2026-05-30T10:42:48.289Z",[40,56,69],{"id":41,"title":42,"slug":43,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":44,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":22},"57711","Largest Company end of June?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",[11,13,45,46,47,48,49],"Big Tech","Economy","DeepSeek","Business","Finance",89,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.353Z","2026-05-30T10:36:33.619Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",2205699.1277590003,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":63,"createdAt":64,"updatedAt":65,"resolutionDate":66,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":23},"414059","Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?","which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-may",[11,61,13,62],"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50","Math",7,"2026-05-30T10:42:52.121Z","2026-05-30T10:32:28.191Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab for \"Math\" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Farena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext\u002Fmath-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",218432.781042,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":73,"probability":76,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":79,"description":80,"summary":80,"volume1wk":81,"featured":23},"425249","GPT-5.6 released by...?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",[11,74,13,75],"OpenAI","gpt",1.1,"2026-05-30T10:42:52.817Z","2026-05-30T10:38:50.708Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nGPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market)\n \nQualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex\u002FTranscribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano\u002FMini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",175807.274012,1780676630566]