[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-cear-governor-election-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"421398","cear-governor-election-winner","Ceará Governor Election Winner","The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br\u002Feleicoes\u002Fresultados-eleicoes).","Ceará Governor Election Winner is a political prediction market on who will win the governor’s race in Brazil’s Ceará state. The election is scheduled for October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026 if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. The market will resolve to the candidate confirmed as the winner, based on credible reporting and, if needed, official results from Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE). Temporary or interim governors appointed before the election do not count toward the outcome.\n\nThis event matters because it tracks market sentiment around one of Brazil’s major global elections and gives traders a forecast of the expected outcome well ahead of election day. As of the latest update, the market-implied probability for the leading outcome is 21.5%, suggesting uncertainty remains and no candidate is close to being a clear favorite. The event is active now and runs through the election date, making it a relevant forecast for political analysts, election watchers, and prediction market participants following Brazil politics and global elections.","POLITICS","Global Elections",[11,13,14,15,16],"Brazil","Main Election","Politics","Elections","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fcear-governor-election-winner-4G9cKVaciSOY.png",21.5,2660.076178,15724.987955,85277.58521,7612.049261,23103.051517500004,true,false,"2026-04-27T21:42:37.533Z","2026-10-04T06:00:00.000Z","2026-04-26T21:26:12.437Z","2026-06-16T10:02:00.438Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fcear-governor-election-winner?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"ceará governor election winner","ceará governor election winner prediction","ceará governor election winner odds","ceará governor election winner probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-16T10:28:55.131Z","2026-06-16T10:08:26.710Z",0,[43,57,70],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":25},"83707","Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner","chungcheongnam-province-governor-election-winner",[11,16,48,15,49,50,14],"South Korea","World","World Elections",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:56.461Z","2026-05-30T10:39:26.667Z","2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z","The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.nec.go.kr\u002F).\n",106395.785802,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":15,"tags":61,"probability":41,"createdAt":65,"updatedAt":66,"resolutionDate":67,"description":68,"summary":68,"volume1wk":69,"featured":24},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[15,62,63,64],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":71,"title":72,"slug":73,"category":10,"subcategory":15,"tags":74,"probability":79,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":24},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[15,75,16,50,11,76,77,78],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-06-16T10:03:36.054Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",4777429.576322999,1781606260344]