[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":83},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"204972","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place","Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place","A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https:\u002F\u002Fdadosabertos.tse.jus.br\u002F).","Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place is a prediction market focused on which candidate will finish second in the first round of Brazil’s presidential election, scheduled for October 4, 2026. The forecast is not about the winner, but about the candidate who receives the second-most valid votes after the first round is counted. That makes the market useful for tracking broader election dynamics, coalition strength, and changes in voter support among the leading contenders. If two candidates are tied on valid votes, the market rules break the tie by alphabetical order of last names, and the outcome will be determined from credible reporting or, if needed, official results from Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE). The market opens in February 2026 and remains active through election day, with a final resolution deadline of June 30, 2027 if the result is still not definitive. Current market probability is about 18.7%, indicating traders see this expected outcome as possible but far from certain. For election watchers, this event prediction offers a clear read on market sentiment around Brazil’s presidential race, first-round odds, and the likely runner-up in one of the most closely followed global elections.","ELECTIONS","Brazil",[11,13,14,15,16],"Politics","World","Global Elections","Elections","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fbrazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png",18.7,998.9170270000001,16633.273896,439090.45168,45786.731975,93307.53101830001,true,false,"2026-02-11T22:53:59.785Z","2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","2026-02-11T12:54:43.473Z","2026-05-30T10:40:19.598Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fbrazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"brazil presidential election first round: 2nd place","brazil presidential election first round: 2nd place prediction","brazil presidential election first round: 2nd place odds","brazil presidential election first round: 2nd place probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:37:28.565Z","2026-05-30T10:43:18.253Z",0,[43,56,68],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":27,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":25},"45915","Brazil Presidential Election","brazil-presidential-election",[11,15,48,14,13,49,50],"World Elections","Macro Election 2","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.323Z","2026-05-30T10:40:02.997Z","A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https:\u002F\u002Fdadosabertos.tse.jus.br\u002F).",5694345.351489,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":62,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":65,"description":66,"summary":66,"volume1wk":67,"featured":25},"385500","Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?","will-the-workers-party-nominate-lula-for-president-of-brazil-by-august-15",[11,13,61,16,15],"lula",76,"2026-05-30T10:43:27.038Z","2026-05-30T10:30:51.286Z","2026-08-15T06:00:00.000Z","The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",9783.016889,{"id":69,"title":70,"slug":71,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":72,"probability":77,"createdAt":78,"updatedAt":79,"resolutionDate":80,"description":81,"summary":81,"volume1wk":82,"featured":24},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[48,15,16,13,73,74,75,76],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.146Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",14863770.623744,1780676608122]