[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":82},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"106981","bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026","Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026","This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. \n\nThe percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC\u002FUSDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC\u002FUSDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC\u002FUSDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.binance.com\u002Fen\u002Ftrade\u002FBTC_USDT in the chart with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles).\n\nThe percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch.\n\nThe resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.marketwatch.com\u002Finvesting\u002Ffuture\u002Fgc00.\n\nThe percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance.\n\nThe resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https:\u002F\u002Ffinance.yahoo.com\u002Fquote\u002F%5ESPX\u002Fhistory\u002F.\n\nIf two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, this market will resolve to Bitcoin).\n\nOnly closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied.\n\nIf either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used.\n\nIf any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.","Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 is a prediction market on which of the three assets will post the best percentage price performance during the 2026 calendar year. The forecast compares Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 using closing prices only, with resolution based on the defined year-end measurements: Bitcoin via Binance BTC\u002FUSDT closes, Gold via MarketWatch’s Gold Continuous Contract (GC00), and the S&P 500 via Yahoo Finance’s ^SPX history. If two assets finish with the same performance, the market resolves by alphabetical order of the title names.\n\nThis event matters because it pits a leading cryptocurrency, a traditional commodity haven, and a major equity index against one another in a single event prediction, reflecting broader market sentiment across crypto, commodities, and U.S. stocks. Traders are effectively forecasting which asset class will outperform by the end of 2026, not total return or dividends.\n\nThe market is scheduled through December 31, 2026, and the current probability for Bitcoin is 25.5%, indicating modest market expectations rather than a clear favorite.","CRYPTO","Finance",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Crypto","Bitcoin","Commodities","SPX","S&P 500","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fbitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026-rWzGB9IW6HC2.jpg",25.5,8626.365264,15385.9624,79562.6793,89651.288705,24841.507212000004,true,false,"2025-12-22T17:42:16.778Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-16T20:59:19.203Z","2026-05-30T10:32:00.730Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fbitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"bitcoin vs. gold vs. s&p 500 in 2026","bitcoin vs. gold vs. s&p 500 in 2026 prediction","bitcoin vs. gold vs. s&p 500 in 2026 odds","bitcoin vs. gold vs. s&p 500 in 2026 probability","crypto prediction market","crypto forecast","crypto probability","2026-06-05T13:38:33.122Z","2026-05-30T10:43:19.335Z",0,[44,59,73],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":48,"tags":49,"probability":42,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":25},"16167","MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?","microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025","Economy",[48,50,51,13,52,53],"Business","2025 Predictions","MicroStrategy","Stocks","2026-05-30T10:42:43.647Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.132Z","2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",13052528.154986965,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":63,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":61,"summary":61,"volume1wk":72,"featured":26},"438065","What price will Bitcoin hit in May?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026",[14,64,65,13,66,67],"Monthly","Hit Price","Crypto Prices","Recurring",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.885Z","2026-05-30T10:30:18.246Z","2026-06-01T04:00:00.000Z",10759950.410525998,{"id":74,"title":75,"slug":76,"category":10,"subcategory":77,"tags":78,"probability":68,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":71,"description":75,"summary":75,"volume1wk":81,"featured":26},"438066","What price will Ethereum hit in May?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-may-2026","Ethereum",[77,64,65,13,66,67],"2026-05-30T10:42:45.153Z","2026-05-30T10:40:15.151Z",2451554.242724,1780676616379]