[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":91},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-billionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-passes-in-california-election-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"64731","billionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-passes-in-california-election-2026","Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?","A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https:\u002F\u002F6abc.com\u002Fpost\u002Fcalifornia-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people\u002F18066430\u002F\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions\u002Finitiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? is an election prediction market centered on whether California voters will approve a qualifying ballot proposition that would impose a one-time tax on billionaires. The market asks if any statewide measure targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion will pass in the November 3, 2026 general election. If no qualifying initiative is certified for the official California ballot by the June 25, 2026 cutoff, or if a proposal is removed or amended so the threshold falls below $1 billion, the market resolves No. Current market probability is about 40.5%, suggesting traders see the outcome as plausible but far from certain. The forecast is relevant to California politics, taxes, referendums, and fiscal policy, especially as market sentiment tracks whether organizers can place a measure on the ballot and whether it can win statewide approval. As with other election odds, the event outcome depends on official state action and the final wording of any proposition.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Elections","Taxes","referendum","referendums midterms","Fiscal","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fbillionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-on-california-ballot-Cu7EZFeYeO2R.jpg",18,4481.90001,48327.808403,29910.1019,919767.018152,22721.312905900002,true,false,"2025-10-24T19:56:13.121Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","2025-10-24T17:46:30.304Z","2026-06-16T10:01:09.488Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fbillionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-passes-in-california-election-2026?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in california election 2026?","billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in california election 2026? prediction","billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in california election 2026? odds","billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in california election 2026? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:08:10.218Z","2026-05-30T10:43:16.399Z",0,[44,60,75],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":25},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,49,50,13,51,52,53],"Global Elections","World Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":64,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":25},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,49,13,65,50,66,67,53,68],"World","Colombia Election","Colombia","Macro Election 1",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-06-16T10:05:17.604Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",1044563.6338270012,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":79,"probability":85,"createdAt":86,"updatedAt":87,"resolutionDate":88,"description":89,"summary":89,"volume1wk":90,"featured":26},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,80,49,81,82,53,13,83,84],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",77.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-06-16T10:06:49.555Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",3351349.079954987,1781606311881]