[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":82},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-june":3},{"event":4,"related":39},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":14,"probability":15,"volume24hr":16,"volume1wk":17,"liquidity":18,"openInterest":19,"trendScore":20,"active":21,"closed":22,"featured":22,"startDate":23,"endDate":24,"createdAtRemote":25,"updatedAtRemote":26,"affiliateUrl":27,"polymarketUrl":27,"searchKeywords":28,"syncedAt":36,"createdAt":37,"marketCount":38},"528048","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-june","Best Chinese AI Company end of June?","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","Best Chinese AI Company end of June? is a technology prediction market focused on which primarily Chinese company will top the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the market’s check time on June 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. The forecast is based on the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank, using the \"Text Arena | Overall\" leaderboard with style control off from lmarena.ai. If two models are tied on rank, the market uses Arena score, including granular underlying values, and then company name as a final tiebreaker. In plain terms, traders are predicting which Chinese AI developer will be judged the leader by this specific benchmark at the end of June. The event matters because Chatbot Arena is widely followed as a signal of relative model performance and market sentiment around frontier AI progress in China. The current market probability is around 50%, suggesting traders see a closely contested outcome rather than a clear favorite. The market opened on May 26, 2026 and remains active through the June 30 resolution window.","TECH","China",[11,13],"Tech","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fbest-chinese-ai-company-end-of-april-a_9taJMfZn2f.jpg",0.5,4786.7874679999995,43082.273784,34910.4381,10520.906748999998,22300.1634892,true,false,"2026-05-26T23:05:34.614Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-26T19:02:37.426Z","2026-06-16T10:03:57.859Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fbest-chinese-ai-company-end-of-june?r=predstack",[29,30,31,32,33,34,35],"best chinese ai company end of june?","best chinese ai company end of june? prediction","best chinese ai company end of june? odds","best chinese ai company end of june? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:18:40.622Z","2026-06-16T10:08:11.693Z",0,[40,52,68],{"id":41,"title":42,"slug":43,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":44,"probability":46,"createdAt":47,"updatedAt":48,"resolutionDate":49,"description":50,"summary":50,"volume1wk":51,"featured":22},"414003","Best Chinese AI Company end of May?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-may",[11,13,45],"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50",null,"2026-05-30T10:42:56.882Z","2026-05-30T10:35:05.887Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",98662.230173,{"id":53,"title":54,"slug":55,"category":10,"subcategory":56,"tags":57,"probability":63,"createdAt":64,"updatedAt":65,"resolutionDate":24,"description":66,"summary":66,"volume1wk":67,"featured":21},"57711","Largest Company end of June?","largest-company-end-of-june-712","AI",[56,13,58,59,60,61,62],"Big Tech","Economy","DeepSeek","Business","Finance",94.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.353Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.401Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",1368463.9907120005,{"id":69,"title":70,"slug":71,"category":10,"subcategory":72,"tags":73,"probability":38,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":79,"description":80,"summary":80,"volume1wk":81,"featured":21},"591694","Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196","Claude",[72,58,74,75,56,13,76],"anthropic","Claude Mythos","Trump","2026-06-16T10:07:57.563Z","2026-06-16T10:05:16.890Z","2026-07-02T03:59:00.000Z","On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.\n\nProducts labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7\u002F5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",360240.44332599995,1781606285961]