[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":79},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-best-ai-model-on-june-20-20260612220323243":3},{"event":4,"related":39},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":14,"probability":15,"volume24hr":16,"volume1wk":17,"liquidity":18,"openInterest":19,"trendScore":20,"active":21,"closed":22,"featured":22,"startDate":23,"endDate":24,"createdAtRemote":25,"updatedAtRemote":26,"affiliateUrl":27,"polymarketUrl":27,"searchKeywords":28,"syncedAt":36,"createdAt":37,"marketCount":38},"588829","best-ai-model-on-june-20-20260612220323243","Best AI model on June 20?","This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNo new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the \"Other\" option.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","Best AI model on June 20? is a technology prediction market tracking which model will rank first on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on June 20, 2026. The market resolves using the \"Text Arena | Overall\" leaderboard on lmarena.ai, with style control off, and the outcome depends on the model holding the highest rank at the check time. If two models are tied, arena score and then alphabetical order are used as tiebreakers. The forecast matters because Chatbot Arena has become a widely watched benchmark for comparing leading AI systems, so traders are effectively pricing which model will have the strongest public leaderboard performance on the deadline. Current market probability sits around 15%, suggesting traders see the event as relatively uncertain and the result still open to change. The market began on June 13, 2026 and remains active through the June 20 resolution window. As an AI-focused event prediction, it reflects market sentiment on the competitive state of frontier models rather than a long-term product or company outcome.","TECH","AI",[11,13],"Tech","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhich-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",0.15,10279.567285,22516.036263,16483.016,7565.3797779999995,15191.1977214,true,false,"2026-06-13T01:08:26.755Z","2026-06-20T19:59:00.000Z","2026-06-12T23:26:11.189Z","2026-06-16T10:04:47.124Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fbest-ai-model-on-june-20-20260612220323243?r=predstack",[29,30,31,32,33,34,35],"best ai model on june 20?","best ai model on june 20? prediction","best ai model on june 20? odds","best ai model on june 20? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:24:00.892Z","2026-06-16T10:08:20.402Z",0,[40,56,67],{"id":41,"title":42,"slug":43,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":44,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":21},"57711","Largest Company end of June?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",[11,13,45,46,47,48,49],"Big Tech","Economy","DeepSeek","Business","Finance",94.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.353Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.401Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",1368463.9907120005,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":38,"createdAt":62,"updatedAt":63,"resolutionDate":64,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":22},"36308","Claude 5 released by…?","claude-5-released-by",[11,13,61],"Claude 5","2026-05-30T10:42:48.289Z","2026-05-30T10:36:27.841Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nClaude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",635833.2265890003,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":71,"probability":38,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":76,"description":77,"summary":77,"volume1wk":78,"featured":22},"425249","GPT-5.6 released by...?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",[11,72,13,73],"OpenAI","gpt","2026-05-30T10:42:52.817Z","2026-06-16T10:04:24.803Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nGPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market)\n \nQualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex\u002FTranscribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano\u002FMini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",248340.12905899994,1781606253901]