[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-berlin-state-election-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"95248","berlin-state-election-winner","Berlin State Election Winner","Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https:\u002F\u002Fwww.berlin.de\u002Fwahlen\u002F)\n","Berlin State Election Winner is a prediction market on which political party will win the most seats in Berlin’s Abgeordnetenhaus in the state election scheduled for September 20, 2026. The event forecast focuses on the party, or coalition if applicable, that emerges with the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin, rather than on vote share or governing coalition negotiations. If the election does not take place by December 31, 2026, the market is set to resolve to Other.\n\nThis election matters because Berlin is one of Germany’s most important state-level political arenas, and the result can signal broader market sentiment ahead of other German and European elections. Traders in this election prediction market are watching the expected outcome closely, with current market probability putting the leading outcome at 23.4%. That figure reflects existing odds and can change as campaign dynamics, polling, and reporting evolve.\n\nResolution will be based on credible reporting and, if needed, the official results from the Election Office of Berlin.","ELECTIONS","Global Elections",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Politics","Elections","Germany","World Elections","World","German Elections","Main Election","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fberlin-state-election-winner-1CAHVXlT8kYr.png",23.4,1932.52141,20839.398677,217869.81814,27822.915198,50792.043936099995,true,false,"2025-12-02T11:48:44.072Z","2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-01T20:47:14.241Z","2026-05-30T10:31:13.987Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fberlin-state-election-winner?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"berlin state election winner","berlin state election winner prediction","berlin state election winner odds","berlin state election winner probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:32:55.017Z","2026-05-30T10:43:13.857Z",0,[46,59,72],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":50,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":28},"411069","Daegu Mayoral Election Winner","daegu-mayoral-election-winner",[11,14,19,51,13,52],"South Korea","South Korea Elections",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:52.210Z","2026-05-30T10:40:19.755Z","2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z","The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nInterim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.nec.go.kr\u002F).\n",199101.41762000002,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":63,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":28},"34590","Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?","will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-colombias-election",[11,17,13,14,64,65],"Colombia Election","Colombia",11.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:54.587Z","2026-05-30T10:35:19.386Z","2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",137519.23510599995,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":78,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":81,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":28},"45925","Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?","which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff",[11,17,77,13],"Brazil",3.45,"2026-05-30T10:43:14.661Z","2026-05-30T10:35:15.680Z","2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https:\u002F\u002Fdadosabertos.tse.jus.br\u002F).",19699.249727000002,1780676608221]