[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":89},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-bank-of-korea-decision-in-july":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"375801","bank-of-korea-decision-in-july","Bank of Korea decision in July?","This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.bok.or.kr\u002Feng\u002Fbbs\u002FE0000627\u002Fview.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","Bank of Korea decision in July? is a prediction market on whether the Bank of Korea will change its base rate at its July monetary policy meeting, or leave it unchanged. The forecast is tied to the official policy announcement following the July 16, 2026 meeting, with resolution based on the Bank of Korea’s published statement and meeting schedule. If no base-rate decision is issued by the market’s end date, it resolves to the “No change” bracket. This economy and South Korea event matters because the Bank of Korea’s rate decisions influence borrowing costs, inflation expectations, and market sentiment across global rates markets. Traders are effectively pricing the expected outcome of the July policy decision, using the prediction market to express odds on a cut, hike, or no change. Current market probability for a change is about 15%, suggesting the market leans toward the base rate staying the same, though that remains only a forecast, not a certainty. For those following economic forecast and event prediction markets, this listing tracks a key South Korea central bank decision with a clear deadline in mid-July 2026.","ECONOMY","South Korea",[11,13,14,15,16],"Global Rates","Economy","BOK","World","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002FBank-Of-Korea-0661c438d0.png",0.15,3409.3313,9457.95862,18720.17335,6865.256740000001,8286.087906,true,false,"2026-04-13T22:27:34.410Z","2026-07-16T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-13T18:33:48.620Z","2026-06-16T10:02:59.904Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fbank-of-korea-decision-in-july?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"bank of korea decision in july?","bank of korea decision in july? prediction","bank of korea decision in july? odds","bank of korea decision in july? probability","economy prediction market","economic forecast","economic probability","2026-06-16T10:35:40.408Z","2026-06-16T10:08:34.709Z",0,[43,61,74],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":47,"tags":48,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":58,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":25},"524097","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","transit",[47,49,50,14,51,52,53,54],"Iran","Oil","Geopolitics","ships","Strait of Hormuz","Hormuz",0.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.055Z","2026-06-16T10:01:37.704Z","2026-06-15T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",6251167.383993982,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":53,"tags":65,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":25},"455867","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",[53,14,66,67,52,49,50,51],"Iran Ceasefire","Politics",60.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.752Z","2026-06-16T10:07:32.502Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",2661137.388396002,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":78,"tags":79,"probability":83,"createdAt":84,"updatedAt":85,"resolutionDate":86,"description":87,"summary":87,"volume1wk":88,"featured":25},"385557","Largest Company end of May?","largest-company-end-of-may-167","Tech",[78,14,80,81,82],"Finance","Big Tech","Business",99.95,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.200Z","2026-05-30T10:37:43.438Z","2026-05-31T06:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",2345554.2487270003,1781606240383]